Asian Economic and Financial Review

Asian Economic and Financial Review

Basic info

  • Publisher: Aess
  • Country of publisher: pakistan
  • Date added to EuroPub: 2017/May/11

Subject and more

  • LCC Subject Category: Finance and Financial Services, Economics
  • Publisher's keywords: Economic, Financial
  • Language of fulltext: english
  • Full-text formats available: PDF

Publication charges

  • Article Processing Charges (APCs): No
  • Submission charges: No
  • Waiver policy for charges? No

Editorial information

Open access & licensing

  • Type of License: CC BY
  • License terms
  • Open Access Statement: Yes
  • Year open access content began: 2011
  • Does the author retain unrestricted copyright? False
  • Does the author retain publishing rights? False

Best practice polices

  • Permanent article identifier: DOI
  • Content digitally archived in: LOCKSS, CLOCKSS
  • Deposit policy registered in: None

This journal has '574' articles

Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: A Disaggregate Approach

Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: A Disaggregate Approach

Authors: Mohsin Nawaz| M.Phil student: Applied Economics Research Centre, University of Karachi, Mahpaar Sadaqat| Research Economist: Applied Economics Researc...
( 36 downloads)
Abstract

This paper attempts to examine the long run as well as short run relationship between Pakistan’s real GDP and energy consumption at sectoral level. The analysis is based on the time series data from 1977 to 2010. We estimate the DOLS cointegration to check the long run relationship. The results indicate the long run relationship between energy consumption and real GDP on aggregate level as well as in industry and services sector but no evidence is found in agriculture sector. This paper also examines the direction of causality by employing Granger causality test and found bidirectional causality between variables under study and unidirectional causality runs from real GDP to energy consumption for industrial and services sectors but result is reverse for agriculture sector.

Keywords: Energy Consumption, Economic Growth, Granger Causality, DOLS
Foreign Direct Investment and the Nigerian Financial Sector Growth

Foreign Direct Investment and the Nigerian Financial Sector Growth

Authors: Oke, Micheal Ojo| Faculty of Management Sciences Ekiti State University, Ado Ekiti, Nigeria
( 35 downloads)
Abstract

Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) stimulates financial sector growth through the presence of foreign participation in investment in the nation. This paper explores the relationship between foreign direct investment and financial sector growth, providing empirical evidence from Nigeria. Annual time-series data were gathered on foreign direct investment, market capitalization, Gross Domestic Product, External Debt, Inflation rate, Exchange Rate and Degree of openness (ratio of imports and exports to gross domestic product) from 1981-2010. The empirical model was analyzed using the econometric techniques of ordinary least square method, unit root test, co-integration test, Error correction Mechanism, and Granger causality test. The findings suggest that the inflow of FDI has a positive impact on the Financial Sector in the short run but fail to translate to real long financial sector growth that could promote speedy economic growth due to the fact that the bulk of foreign direct investment has been channeled to other sectors of the economy namely the Oil and Gas Sector. The study recommends that government should encourage and formulate policies that will increase the volume and magnitude of Foreign Direct Investment into the Financial Sector as well as implement policies that attract foreign participation in domestic economy and create good and conducive investment climate that assures that foreign businesses thrive, among others.

Keywords: Foreign Direct Investment, Financial Sector Growth, Market Capitalization
Short Term Relationships between European Electricity Markets

Short Term Relationships between European Electricity Markets

Authors: Rafik Jbir| Université de Gabès, BP 100, ISG Gabès, rue Jilani Al Habib, 6000, Gabès, Tunisie, Lanouar Charfeddine| Université de Gabès, BP 75, ISG Ga...
( 36 downloads)
Abstract

This paper investigates the short term relationship between the three major European electricity markets: France, Germany and Italy. Using a multivariate analysis, we study the impact of each electricity price changes in one country on the electricity price of the others two countries. Empirical results show that there is a positive impact of common reforms in Europe. Indeed, there is an interdependence of electricity prices especially between Germany and Italy.

Keywords: Electricity prices, Europeans countries, VAR model
A Co-integration Analysis of the Dominican Republic’s Aggregate Import Demand Function under a Floating Exchange Rate Regime

A Co-integration Analysis of the Dominican Republic’s Aggregate Import Demand Function under a Floating Exchange Rate Regime

Authors: Santiago Grullón| NYC & Company and Adjunct Professor, Mercy College
( 33 downloads)
Abstract

This paper presents an empirical examination of the responsiveness of aggregate imports to variations in relative prices and domestic economic activity in the Dominican Republic under a floating exchange rate regime implemented in 1985. Using the „bounds‟ testing approach to co-integration of Pesaran et al. (2001) and a method developed by Bårdsen (1989) to derive long-run price and income elasticities of import demand for the period of 1985-2005, the findings show the existence of a co-integration relationship between imports, relative prices and domestic income. Total imports have a long-run price demand elasticity of -1.61, indicating that relative prices have a strong effect on their demand and thus signifying that the demand for imports is strongly affected by domestic inflationary pressures. Moreover, the long-run domestic income demand elasticity is +1.24, demonstrating that imports are strongly affected by domestic economic activity. This latter result is shown to have important implications for sustainable economic growth in the Dominican Republic, particularly in the light of its recent membership in the Central American Free Trade Agreement (DR-CAFTA).

Keywords: null
Fundamental Value and Price Divergence: Evidence from Tehran's Stock Exchange

Fundamental Value and Price Divergence: Evidence from Tehran's Stock Exchange

Authors: Lida Mahmoudi| Accounting Department, Islamic Azad University-Marvdasht Branch, Marvdasht, Iran, Javad Moradi| Accounting Department, Islamic Azad Uni...
( 33 downloads)
Abstract

This paper investigates the information content of some accounting variables and degree of their association with risk and return by residual income model in Tehran stock exchange (TSE). In order to determine risk factors, we use Fama and French (1992) three-factor Model. The first contribution is that the fundamental value based on accounting figures, is highly correlated with stock prices, that is, the accounting numbers as residual income and book value and the fundamental value based on them, are important factors determining the market value of stocks. Our results indicate that beta coefficient cannot explain price differentials, and price differentials are not related to abnormal return. We further document that relative information content of price differentials and Systematic Risk are different. Finally, we find that price differentials with systematic risk do not contain incremental information content to explain returns in TSE.

Keywords: Price Divergence, Fundamental Value, Irrational Behavior, Residual Income Model
Assessing Determinants of Macroeconomic Policy on Real Convergence and Growth: A Comparative Study of the Eurozone and ASEAN

Assessing Determinants of Macroeconomic Policy on Real Convergence and Growth: A Comparative Study of the Eurozone and ASEAN

Authors: ZaenalMutaqin| Hiroshima University. 1-5-1 Kagamiyama, Higashi-Hiroshima 739-8529, Japan) and (Sultan AgengTirtayasa University Serang, Indonesia, Mas...
( 42 downloads)
Abstract

This study mainly examines the role of macroeconomic policy variables associated with Maastricht Convergence Criteria (MC), using various approaches to analyze comparatively differences in growth and convergence in income, productivity, and unemployment between a developed, economically integrated area (Eurozone) and a developing one (ASEAN), a decade before and after the euro was introduced. The most interesting issue is whether macroeconomic policy coordination in the Eurozone has had an influence and improves the region’s economic performance, compared to a region that does not have such a policy. Based on estimations, convergence was found to be conditional rather than unconditional, except with respect to unemployment and productivity in the Eurozone. Imposing macroeconomic policy variables associated with MC on convergence and growth in the Eurozone and ASEAN makes it possible to determine any significant influence. Although results were mixed in different estimations, in all equations, joint variables imply that those variables should not be ignored in promoting convergence and growth in both regions. Generally, the Eurozone has higher real per-capita GDP, productivity, and unemployment, and more stable growth in GDP and productivity, but ASEAN performed better in terms of growth of income and productivity, and in low unemployment levels, as suggested also by difference-in-difference and decomposition analysis.

Keywords: Convergence, ASEAN, Eurozone, Maastricht Criteria
Debt and Debt Volatility: Effect on Economic Growth in Nigeria

Debt and Debt Volatility: Effect on Economic Growth in Nigeria

Authors: James Sunday Kehinde| Faculty of Management Sciences, Lagos State University, Ojo, Nigeria
( 33 downloads)
Abstract

Today the major economic problem of the developing nation is the effect and volatility of debt on the real development of the economy. Debt volume continues to increase while the GDP either remain constant or increase at a reduced marginal rate. The ordinary least square regression analysis and the general autoregressional conditional heteroscedasticity (GARCH) were used. The study attempts to estimate the effect and volatility of debt on the GDP. Secondary data was used and the E-view package adopted in the study. The study revealed that only lag in GDP affect the GDP volume, while debt and volatility in debt does not affect the GDP. There is no ARCH effect of debt on GDP. It was recommended that debt management regime should be refocused to ensure that debt repayment is exogenously determined. Moreover, future debt should be attached to a specific capital development program to ensure the growth in the economy.

Keywords: Debt, Debt Volatility, Economic Growth, GARCH
Impact of Heavy Taxation on Israel During Solomonic Era: Implications for Nigerian Tax System

Impact of Heavy Taxation on Israel During Solomonic Era: Implications for Nigerian Tax System

Authors: Theodore U. Dickson| Department of Religious Studies Babcock University Ilishan-Remo, Ogun State, Nigeria, Appolos N. Nwaobia| Department of Accountin...
( 62 downloads)
Abstract

Over time, the tax systems have been a major source of revenue generation for several governments. Its history dates back to Bible times. Tax therefore becomes the civic responsibility of individuals and corporate organizations with the understanding that its proceeds will enhance governmental projects for the benefit of the society. However, history has shown that the implementation of tax policies by different governments have at different times resulted in double or multiple taxation of the citizens. Hidden under the garb of „development‟ and „improvement‟ of the wellbeing of the society, these administrators exploit the people and at the end poverty is further entrenched. The paper attempted a critical look at tax policies and its administration in ancient Israel during the Solomonic Era – a time when the Bible said Israel „prospered‟, and its impact on the populace. The implications of such impact on the Nigerian tax systems were drawn in an attempt to avert extreme effects like dissension. We discovered that the Solomonic Era was characterized by heavy taxation. Beyond the multiplicity of direct tax, thousands of Israelites were drawn into unpaid labor force. The study noted the replication of Solomonic tax system in Nigeria and recommended an urgent reform in the Nigeria‟s tax administration as well as value re-orientation aimed at curtailing corrupt bureaucracy.

Keywords: Multiple Taxation, Solomonic Era, Tax Administration, Corrupt Bureaucracy
Long-Run and Short-Run Dynamics among the Sectoral Stock Indices: Evidence from Turkey

Long-Run and Short-Run Dynamics among the Sectoral Stock Indices: Evidence from Turkey

Authors: Gulin Vardar| Department of International Trade and Finance, Izmir University of Economics, Balcova, Izmir, Turkey, Gokce Tunc| Department of Internat...
( 38 downloads)
Abstract

This paper investigates the short-run and long-run dynamics among the major sectoral stock indices of the Istanbul Stock Exchange over the period 1997-2011. Long-run relationship among these indices is analyzed by using both conventional Engle and Granger (1987) and Johansen-Juselius (1990) cointegration tests, causal relationship through Vector Error Correction Model (VECM). Likewise, variance decomposition analysis is employed to partition the variance of the forecast error of one sector index into proportions attributable to shocks in each sector index in the system including its own. The findings suggest that all sectors show consistent and strong evidence of a long-run relationship, the short-term causal relationships between the sector indices are considerably limited and, where they exist, especially unidirectional. The variance decomposition analysis confirms that even though a high percentage of error variance is accounted for by the innovations in the same index, innovations in the variance of returns in the Banking sector are able to explain, on average, 63% innovations in the variance of the Chemistry, Petrol and Plastic, 57% of the Basic Metal and 79% of the Holding and Investment sector returns. These results indicate that the Banking sector is the most influential sector in the ISE.

Keywords: Stock market indices, cointegration, Granger-causality, VECM, variance decomposition
Earnings Management, Board Independence And Audit Fees Considering The Firm's Profitability Level

Earnings Management, Board Independence And Audit Fees Considering The Firm's Profitability Level

Authors: Javad Moradi| Accounting Department, Islamic Azad University-Marvdasht Branch, Marvdasht, IRAN, Hashem Valipour| Accounting Department, Islamic Azad U...
( 34 downloads)
Abstract

This study investigates the relation between earnings management, board independence and audit fees considering the firm's profitability level. Two main hypotheses have been designed by theoretical framework, and have been tested on 57 listed companies in Tehran Stock Exchange during 2003 to 2009. The statistical analysis had been done by multi-variable regression analysis and one-way ANOVA analysis, too. The findings show that there is a meaningful and positive relation between earnings management and audit fees. Also, there is a meaningful and negative relation between board independence and audit fees. The results suggest that the higher the level of profitability, the higher the audit fees.

Keywords: Earnings Management, Board Independence, Audit Fees, Discretionary Accruals
Poverty and Sustainable Socio-Economic Development in Africa: The Nigerian Experience

Poverty and Sustainable Socio-Economic Development in Africa: The Nigerian Experience

Authors: Igbokwe-Ibeto Chinyeaka Justine| Department of Industrial Relations and Public Administration (Public Admin Unit) Faculty of Management Sciences, Lago...
( 40 downloads)
Abstract

There has been a growing incidence of poverty in sub-Saharan Africa over the last two decades. Poverty is a multidimensional social phenomenon that can be analytically divided into two main perspectives: human poverty which is the lack of human capabilities and income poverty, which is the lack of income necessary to satisfy basic need e.g. poor life expectancy, poor maternal health, illiteracy, poor nutritional levels, poor access to safe drinking water and perceptions of well-being. The paper examines several initiatives focused on poverty eradication that Nigeria have adopted through national actions to fight both human and income poverty. In analysizing the issues raised, we anchored the paper on an eclectic approach of radical, Marxist model of political economy and the social exclusion theories. The study established among others, that a lot of effort has been made in poverty reduction through poverty alleviation programs in Nigeria. However, it is of knowledge that in spite of the previous efforts of various governments to alleviate poverty in Nigeria and the efforts of the current government to effect same, nothing much had changed in the living conditions and standards of the people. Poverty is still growing at an alarming rate. The challenges of poverty alleviation strategies in the Nigerian situation were articulated in the context of sustainable socio-economic development and the paper concludes that poverty alleviation in contemporary Nigeria require both socio-economic policies geared towards sustainable development. However, to enhance the human capital of the poor in particular, priorities for educational reforms should be in the areas of basic education, vocational training, water and sanitation, health care delivery, agriculture and housing for all. It is the position of this paper that until African leaders in general and Nigeria in particular begin to think „We‟ and not „I‟, the fight against poverty that could engender sustainable socio-economic development will for long remain a mirage.

Keywords: Development, Human Capital, Income, Poverty, Sustainability
The Causal Link between Government Expenditure and Government Revenue in Ghana

The Causal Link between Government Expenditure and Government Revenue in Ghana

Authors: Richard Doh-Nani| Department of Economics, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, Kumasi, Ghana, Dadson Awunyo-Vitor| Department of Agric...
( 34 downloads)
Abstract

The study aimed at determining the causal link between government expenditure and government revenue of Ghana over the period 1960 to 2007. Four hypotheses were tested namely: tax-spend hypothesis, spend-tax hypothesis, fiscal synchronization hypothesis and institutional separation hypothesis. The data was obtained from World Bank development indicators’ and the state of the Ghanaian economy. The study employed Granger causality test, augmented Dickey and Fuller (ADF) and Phillip-Perron (PP) tests to examine the causal link between government expenditure and revenue of Ghana. The result shows that there is bi-directional causality such that both government expenditure and government revenue of Ghana have temporal precedence over each other. This means that changes in government revenue precede changes in government expenditure. In order to ensure that expenditure do not move too far away from revenue, the tax net of Ghana should be expanded to capture all “taxable” individuals and firms to increase government revenue.

Keywords: Government Revenue, Government Expenditure, Gross Domestic Product, Causality test, Ghana
Return-Volatility Interactions in the Nigerian Stock Market

Return-Volatility Interactions in the Nigerian Stock Market

Authors: MARGARET N. OKOLI| Department of Financial Management, School of Management Technology, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nigeria
( 33 downloads)
Abstract

The study employed the GARCH (1, 1) and VAR models to ascertain the relationship between volatilities in the monetary policy variables and volatilities in the stock market returns in Nigeria between 1980 and 2010.The study showed that only exchange rate policy variable have an influence on the stock market volatility with a negative coefficient but statistically significant indicating that higher volatility in the exchange rate dampens stock market activities. This means that an increase in exchange volatility will lead to a fall in stock market volatility. Additionally, result showed that M1granger causes very significantly M2 and vice versa. Implicitly, it shows that there is “bi-directional causality” or a “bi-directional feedback” between M1 andM2.What this implies is that stabilizing interest rate will reduce the volatility in the stock market. The study also observed that there is no effect of international factor and influence on the stock market returns implying that international volatilities is not transmitted across national stock markets in Nigeria. Finally, there is the presence of volatility shocks. The study therefore suggested that government policy should focus on exchange rate to stabilize the stock market. Investors are also advised to consider the nature of volatility in exchange rate before making investment decisions.

Keywords: Monetary policy volatility, stock market volatility, GARCH (1, 1), VAR
Verifying the Effects of Risk Variables on Return Volatility of Sector Price Indices in the Nigeria Stock Exchange

Verifying the Effects of Risk Variables on Return Volatility of Sector Price Indices in the Nigeria Stock Exchange

Authors: Okoli, Margaret Nnenna| Department of Financial Management, School of Management Technology, Federal University of Technology, Owerri, Imo State, Nige...
( 32 downloads)
Abstract

The aim of this paper is to determine whether risk variables in particular interest rate and exchange rate play any important role in predicting sector price indices in the stock market. The stock market indices used include All-share index, banking index, insurance index, food and beverage index and oil and gas index .Index return and volatility is estimated using GARCH (1, 1).The findings revealed that exchange rate has a high negative influence on All-share index (ASI) and food and beverage index (FBI), while interest rate has a high significant negative impact on Oil and Gas Index (OGI). The variance of these indices also varies overtime. In other words, these indices exhibit volatility clustering. Worthy of note is that exchange rate (EXR) affects the volatility of the Food /Beverage index. It therefore implied that investors should watch this trend in return volatility changes before choosing their portfolio of investment for better risk management.

Keywords: Sector indices, return-volatility, risk variables, GARCH (1, 1)
The Technical Efficiency of Nigerian Banks

The Technical Efficiency of Nigerian Banks

Authors: Frances N. Obafemi| Department of Economics, University of Calabar, Calabar, Nigeria
( 34 downloads)
Abstract

This study provides an insight into the technical efficiency of Nigerian banks. The Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) approach was employed to derive the efficiency scores of the various banks. A total of 67 banks, made up of commercial and merchant banks were used for the periods 1984/1985, 1994/1995, 1999/2000, and 2003/2004. This enabled us to investigate the efficiency of these banks pre- and- post liberalization. However, the periods were before the consolidation exercise of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) headed by both Soludo and Sanusi. This enabled us compare the results with the outcome of those consolidation exercises. The result shows that on the average Nigerian banks were not efficient within the periods of study. However, it showed that liberalization improved the efficiency of banks in Nigeria, though the improvement did not last as some of the banks started sliding in efficiency with continued liberalization. This tends to support the consolidation exercises which were actions taken along with the liberalization exercise to save the banks. Furthermore, the study shows that some of the banks that collapsed during the 2006 consolidation exercise had their efficiencies continuously on the decline. Same with some of the banks that were declared problematic by Sanusi. It also showed that privately owned banks were found to be more efficient than publicly owned banks within the period of study. This suggests that continued privatization should be pursued in the banking industry.

Keywords: Technical Efficiency, Data Envelopment Analysis, Financial Liberalization, Bank Consolidation

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