Penerapan Model Arima dalam Peramalan Anak Usia 5–14 Th yang Terinfeksi HIV di Indonesia
Journal Title: Alifmatika: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Pembelajaran Matematika - Year 2019, Vol 1, Issue 1
Abstract
Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) is dangerous diseases for humans, and until now has not found a cure. Virus HIV is attacks the human immune system so that someone is susceptible to disease. This causes if someone is infected with HIV, then the person can experience an danger condition, it will even effect is death. In recent years, the number of children aged 5 – 14 years old that infected with HIV continues to increase. Therefore the author was moved to write about the application of the ARIMA model in forecasting the number of children aged 5 – 14 years old that infected with HIV in Indonesia by 2023. With the hope that the public or the govermment can find out the potential dangers of HIV disease, especially in children aged 5 – 14 years old. So that the public and govermment can jointly eradicate the spread of the HIV virus, especially in chidren. the result are obtained that the model that is suitable for use in forecasting is the ARIMA(0,1,2) models, with error value obtained is 0.057429. with the forecast value of the number of children aged 5 – 14 years old that infected with HIV in Indonesia from 2019 – 2023 in a row is : 570.82, 647.12, 734.14, 823.85, 944.83.
Authors and Affiliations
Wigid Hariadi & Sulantari Sulantari
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP677347
- DOI 10.35316/alifmatika.2019.v1i1.74-82
- Views 285
- Downloads 1
ANALISIS KESALAHAN SISWA DALAM MENYELESAIKAN SOAL PROGRAM LINEAR DITINJAU DARI ADVERSITY QUOTIENT
This research aims to analyze student’s error types in solving linear programming problems based on Newman’s error analysis viewed from Adversity Quotient (AQ). This research approach is qualitative descriptive. Subjects...
Desain Mozaik pada Bingkai Belah Ketupat dengan Motif Fraktal dan Konstruksinya pada Matlab
Mosaics are the artistic creations made from pieces of shape which are then arranged and affixed to a plane and designed using a tiling pattern with a basic pattern of geometric objects.. The progress of science and tech...
Strategi Pembelajaran Matematika Menyenangkan Siswa (MMS) Berbasis Metode Permainan Mathemagic, Teka-teki Dan Cerita Matematis
Until now there are still many students who consider aboaut metematics as a school subject that is considered scary and boring. Because it contains many difficult and meticulous formulas. Though mathematics is a very imp...
Penerapan Model Arima dalam Peramalan Anak Usia 5–14 Th yang Terinfeksi HIV di Indonesia
Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) is dangerous diseases for humans, and until now has not found a cure. Virus HIV is attacks the human immune system so that someone is susceptible to disease. This causes if someone is i...
KETERAMPILAN BERPIKIR KRITIS MAHASISWA DALAM MEMECAHKAN MASALAH MATEMATIKA BERDASARKAN KETERAMPILAN ABAD 21
Descriptive analysis methode of research describes about increasing subject in the level of critical thinking skills of students in solving mathematics based on 21st-century skills. The subjects research were 28 students...