A Financial Stress Index for Ukraine
Journal Title: Visnyk of the National Bank of Ukraine - Year 2017, Vol 0, Issue 240
Abstract
In this paper, we develop a daily Financial Stress Index (FSI) for the comprehensive quantitative measurement of the degree of stress in Ukraine’s financial system. We use 14 individual indicators grouped into four sub-indices – the banking sector, corporate debt, government debt, and the foreign exchange market – to construct the FSI. The index measures the level of stress and vulnerability of the financial sector and enables to compare this level at current moment with its dynamic in the past. The FSI can signal the start of a financial crisis and can be used to assess the effectiveness of anti-crisis measures.
Authors and Affiliations
Lesia Tyshchenko, Attila Csajbok
Estimating the Fiscal Impulse in Ukraine
This paper estimates the fiscal impulse for Ukraine following the methodology of the OECD, which disaggregates budget revenues and expenditures into categories that are driven by economic cycles. To estimate the fiscal i...
How Does Credit Risk Influence Liquidity Risk? Evidence from Ukrainian Banks
This study investigates the link between two major risks in the banking sector: liquidity risk and credit risk. Utilizing a novel sample of Ukrainian banks for the period from Q1 2009 to Q4 2015, we document credit risk...
International Experience of Capital Flows Liberalization
In this research we concentrate on such instruments of regulatory policy as restrictions for capital flow and currency regulation. The study highlights the international experience of managing capital flows, considers th...
Nowcasting of Economic Development Indicators Using the NBU’s Business Survey Results
The article was devoted to the research of possibilities to use Business Outlook Survey results, which are carried out by National Bank of Ukraine, for the short-term forecasting of economic development, in particular, t...
A Neutral Real Interest Rate in the Case of a Small Open Economy: Application to Ukraine
This paper measures a neutral interest rate in Ukraine by means of applying a Kalman filter to a semistructural model with unobserved components. We rely on a medium-term concept of a neutral interest rate, where it is d...