About rationing interval values of emergency risk (risk of emergencies)
Journal Title: Научно-практический журнал "Проблемы анализа риска" - Year 2016, Vol 13, Issue 2
Abstract
As a key problem of risk analysis and QRA remains the problem of uncertainty presence and uncertainty quantification. The using of an interval numbers to specify emergency parameters and the interval analysis to determine the target metrics of the risk allows to assess the uncertainty of derived results. A wide use of this approach to the emergency (fire) safety management has clashed with a serious problem. It consists in the absence of a solution of the task — how to compare risk interval metrics with their normative values, which as scalar numbers have been asserted. The method of output rates setting of emergency risk has proposed in the paper in cases, when they interval character have. This method accords with the international approach in the area of radiation safety.
Authors and Affiliations
E. Y. Kolesnikov
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP610979
- DOI 10.32686/1812-5220-2016-13-2-66-71
- Views 132
- Downloads 0
STRATEGIES AND RISKS OF THE U. S. REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUSTS
The paper provides analysis of the key strategy features and risks of the U. S. real estate investment trusts (REITs). Business models of equity REITs and their risks differ depending on the sectors of their investment....
Using social networking services for decisionwmaking support in emergencies
This paper discusses the use of social networking services for rapid response to emergencies. It also analyzes the experience of attracting information generated by social media users in emergencies for use in the work o...
TYPES OF TAX RISKS IN A COMMERCIAL BANK, AND HOW TO MANAGE THEM
This article investigated types of tax risks made inherent to commercial banks, proposed a generalized concept of building tax risk management in commercial bank. A grouping of types of risks in accordance with the natur...
A METHOD FOR ASSESSING CATASTROPHE PROBABILITY IN INHOMOGENOUS FLOWS OF EXTREME EVENTS AND ITS USE TO PREDICT EARTHQUAKES IN THE ARCTIC
The article discusses prediction of catastrophe probability in inhomogenous flows of extreme events. This problem can be solved using a method based on the limit theorem for geometric random sums of independent random no...
SCIENTIFIC ISSUES DEALING WITH IN THE COURSE OF THE CHERNOBYL DISASTER EFFECTS OVERCOMING
In article attempt on the basis of synthesis of literary data and own works on studying of experience of overcoming of serious consequences of the Chernobyl accident to define those scientific problems which were solved...