AN ANALYSIS OF OPTIMAL DEVOLVED GOVERNMENT SIZE FOR GROWTH: ARMEY CURVE IN KENYA
Journal Title: Brazilian Journal of African Studies - Year 2020, Vol 5, Issue 10
Abstract
This study, assuming a balanced budget, attempts to estimate the optimal size of devolved government expenditure in 47 Kenyan counties using the panel ARDL regression and Scully (2008) model for the period 2013-2017. The estimation model examined Armey’s idea of a quadratic curve that explains the level of government expenditure in an economy and the corresponding level of economic growth. The panel ARDL series analysis reveals that devolved government size is optimized when county expenditures stand at 9.7% of GCP (Gross County Product). The estimated threshold size is higher than the current size of county government in Kenya. The low level of devolved government size in counties reflects the low level of economic activities in Counties. This study therefore recommends that county governments should increase its spending budget on infrastructure, social and economic activities to 9.7% of GCP to stimulate overall county economic growth.
Authors and Affiliations
Naftlay Mose
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP692936
- DOI https://doi.org/10.22456/2448-3923.98594
- Views 148
- Downloads 0
PROTECTION REGIME FOR ASYLUM APPLICANTS AND REFUGEES IN LAW 10/15 OF JUNE 17, LAW ON THE RIGHT OF ASYLUM AND THE REFUGEE STATUS IN ANGOLA
After the civil war, Angola has welcomed asylum seekers and refugees from various parts of Africa. To protect these individuals, a number of laws have been passed. Among them is the constitution (CRA 2010) which emphasiz...
SEGURANÇA REGIONAL NO CHIFRE DA ÁFRICA: CONFLITOS, AGENDAS E AMEAÇAS
Este artigo tem por objetivo analisar a dinâmica de segurança no Chifre da África no período pós-independência, identificando os atores, agendas e ameaças. Para tanto, ele se divide em três partes. Na primeira parte, faz...
O PAPEL DA ÁFRICA NA NOVA ROTA DA SEDA MARÍTIMA
O objetivo do presente artigo é analisar o lugar da África na construção da Nova Rota da Seda Marítima. Este é justamente um dos vetores do ambicioso projeto chinês de integração da Ásia, Europa e África, lançada em 2013...
TRUST IN POLITICAL POWER AND GOVERNMENT INSTITUTIONS IN MOZAMBIQUE: 2014-2018
Having held six general elections (1994, 1999, 2004, 2009, 2014 and 2019), challenges are faced in the Mozambican democratic process, including understanding voter confidence in government institutions. The purpose of th...
A POLÍTICA AFRICANA DE CUBA: IDEALISMO OU PRAGMATISMO?
As relações cubano-africanas são marcadas por traços de excepcionalidade. A Revolução Cubana coincide, temporalmente, com o aprofundamento do processo descolonizatório na África. Desde os primeiros anos da Revolução, Cub...