ANALYSIS AND PREDICTION OF TEMPERATURE USING STATISTICAL ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK
Journal Title: International Journal of Computer Science and Management Studies (IJCSMS) www.ijcsms.com - Year 2012, Vol 12, Issue 2
Abstract
This paper is about producing a prediction system by using artificial neural methods that will forecast temperature. This paper is based on three objectives. First, study of temperature and gathers all knowledge regarding the weather this is particularly studied in analysis part of the paper. Second, gather all knowledge about artificial neural network methods. Implement multilayer perceptron neural network with gradient descent(back propagation), BFGS, conjugate gradient training algorithm and will analyze the performance of all. Lastly, achieve an objective of developing a temperature prediction system. The general finding is that with BFGS algorithm, with multilayer perceptron model perform well with less prediction error and more accuracy than gradient descent and conjugate gradient, thus used for temperature prediction. To implement this project we make use of statistica software which provides the functionality called statistica artificial neural network(SANN) which is used here for temperature prediction and heavy weather software is used for data gathering.
Authors and Affiliations
Parag Kadu , Kishor Wagh , Prashant Chatur
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