ARIMA Forecast of Area, Production and Productivity of Rice in Amalgamated Raipur Using R
Journal Title: International Journal of Agricultural Science and Research (IJASR) - Year 2018, Vol 8, Issue 1
Abstract
The forecast of the production of rice over future time series in Chhattisgarh has always been a matter of concern to the planners of the State, especially being a predominantly tribal region. The present study aims at patterns of studying area, production and productivity of rice crop for Amalgamated Raipur districts of Chhattisgarh Plains over a time series from 1980 to 2015 and their forecasts for the next five years using ARIMA and double exponential methods. The forecasts undertaken were based on the libraries developed in the globally famous statistical software environment “R: The R Project for Statistical Computing” available at www.r-project.org. Some good models have been developed for the area, production and productivity wherever model diagnostics permitted. A synopsis and evaluation of Good fitted forecast models have been summarized. Subsequently, forecast based on these good models have been attempted from 2015-16 to 2019-20
Authors and Affiliations
G. BHAVANI, A. K. SINGH
Keywords
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- EP ID EP276996
- DOI 10.24247/ijasrfeb201818
- Views 107
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