ASSESSMENT OF DYNAMIC MODELLING AS A TOOL FOR AN ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION FORECASTING FOR A GROUP OF INDIVIDUAL CUSTOMERS

Abstract

The forecasting of the electricity consumption is an indispensable tool for the modern electrical energy management. The ability of the prediction of future behaviours is the basis for the effective management. Due to the high variability of the energy consumption over time and the impossibility of its long-term storage, particularly important issue is the selection of appropriate tools for the forecasting and determining of the consumption as precisely as possible. The article describes the dynamic modelling and the results of predictive dynamic models developed for a group of individual customers. The results were evaluated on the basis of the actual consumption of the electric energy.

Authors and Affiliations

Wiktoria GRYCAN, Zbigniew WRÓBLEWSKI

Keywords

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  • EP ID EP78956
  • DOI 10.5604/00326216.1197303
  • Views 69
  • Downloads 0

How To Cite

Wiktoria GRYCAN, Zbigniew WRÓBLEWSKI (2016). ASSESSMENT OF DYNAMIC MODELLING AS A TOOL FOR AN ELECTRICITY CONSUMPTION FORECASTING FOR A GROUP OF INDIVIDUAL CUSTOMERS. Proceedings of Electrotechnical Institute Prace Instytutu Elektrotechniki, 63(272), 167-178. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-78956