COMPLEX LANDLIDES’ HAZARD ASSESSMENT WITHIN SOUTHERN COAST OF CRIMEA

Abstract

The Southern Coast of Crimea is characterized as the most highly affected by landslide processes compared to other engineering-geological objects of the peninsula. On the other hand, the existing methods for predicting and assessing landslide hazard created for this area as a result of years of research are insufficiently adapted to modern requirements of engineering geology. The purpose of the study is to develop and test a relevant method for integrated regional prediction of landslides. In this paper, landslide hazard prediction is understood to be a sequential analysis of assessment of spatial and temporal regularities of landslide development. Data & Methods. In the course of the study an analysis of regional factors determining the predisposition of certain areas to landslides and influencing the dynamics of their development was carried out. In order to identify spatial and temporal peculiarities of landslide development a static model and a dynamic model were built, together describing the nature of the process. The creation of the static model is based on calculation of the weighting coefficient as a degree of impact of each of the factors considered. The dynamic model was built using GIS tools. It shows the distribution of the indirect indicator of landslide activity – the slope stability index. Results. As result of research, two models, that consider the influence of certain factors on the landslides’ activity, were developed. The statistical analysis of the obtained models demonstrated a sufficient degree of their reliability under the applied set of factors.

Authors and Affiliations

E. E. Bojko, A. E. Koshlyakov

Keywords

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  • EP ID EP400255
  • DOI -
  • Views 86
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How To Cite

E. E. Bojko, A. E. Koshlyakov (2015). COMPLEX LANDLIDES’ HAZARD ASSESSMENT WITHIN SOUTHERN COAST OF CRIMEA. Вісник Одеського національного університету. Географічні та геологічні науки, 20(3), 131-144. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-400255