DEMAND PROJECTIONS FOR FOODGRAINS IN KARNATAKA-VISION 2020, INDIA
Journal Title: International Journal of Agriculture Sciences - Year 2016, Vol 8, Issue 2
Abstract
The issue of food security is debated world over with increase in population and it has become important agenda in many of the international forums. Karnataka is one among the highly populated states of India on which the present study focused upon projecting the demand for major food grains (cereals and pulses) up to year 2020, by making use of district level cross-section data of 64th round consumer expenditure survey which is published by National Sample Survey Organization (NSSO) during 2007-08 which facilitated to capture the regional variation in composition of food basket. The demand estimates are derived based on growth of population, per capita income and income elasticity of demand. Engel curves like Log–inverse, Double–log, Log-log–inverse, Linear, Quadratic and Semi-log models were used for computing expenditure elasticities. The estimate of demand with respect to rice, wheat, jowar, ragi, gram, and tur by the end of 2016 found to be 42.9, 11.1, 7.2, 6.6, 0.46 and 5.3 lakh tons respectively and by the end of 2020 it was found to be 57.4, 14.2, 6.1, 6.8, 0.50 and 7.2 lakh tons respectively. These results may help policy makers of the state to narrow down the supply-demand gap of food grains under consideration.
Authors and Affiliations
LAKSHM NARSIMHAIAH
Keywords
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