Development of the method for modeling operational processes for tasks related to decision making
Journal Title: Восточно-Европейский журнал передовых технологий - Year 2018, Vol 2, Issue 4
Abstract
<p class="a">A solution to any problem is valuable only if the results of the solution are reliable. This axiomatic statement is trivial. However, despite the fact that this statement is undeniable, it is violated regularly in problems of operations research. This is due to the fact that the proposed evaluation criteria are not verified and possibility of using indirect methods of effectiveness evaluation of operations is not substantiated.</p><p class="a">The problem point of modeling was shown using the example of comparison of operational processes, based on equally effective operations with multiple duration. This point is related to the fact that it is necessary to take into account inter-operational losses while modeling the process, based on the use of shorter operations in relation to an alternative operational process. Ignoring these losses can lead to making a mistaken decision or to errors in verification of estimation indicators.</p><p class="a">In a number of cases the problem can be solved using specially conducted experimental studies. However, if there is a set of unverified estimation expressions or in verification problems, a formal approach can be used. Under this approach, uncertainty, arising in the process of modeling, can be removed by using the capabilities of a verified indicator itself.</p>The developed method for modeling allows us to determine the scope of constraints on parameters of modeled operations. The probability of an error in results of modeling in problems, related to decision making, is excluded on condition of taking into account this region
Authors and Affiliations
Igor Lutsenko, Iryna Oksanych, Nadezhda Karabut
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP527870
- DOI 10.15587/1729-4061.2018.126446
- Views 44
- Downloads 0
ESTIMATION OF FIRE PROTECTION EFFICIENCY OF ARTICLES MADE FROM REED UNDER AN EXTERNAL ACTION OF GASOLINE FLAME
Our study into the process of reed ignition has established the mechanisms of heat transfer to a material, which makes it possible to influence this process. It has been proven that the process of ignition implies heatin...
Features of the estimation of the intensity of heat exchange in self-ventilated disk-shoe brakes of vehicles
<p>Analysis of the energy load of a cargo vehicle self-ventilated disk-brake system, which significantly affects the operational parameters of its friction pairs is made. Plastic deformation of the disk friction belts ca...
Using Markov chains for predicting collective motivation of students.
Predicting students' motivation hot topic for research in higher education. In previous work had created a comprehensive model for evaluating students' motivation. As part of the floor is the algorithm of the forecast av...
Development of structures of the aircraft fire alarm system by means of nested modules
<p>Optimization of structures of information management systems is determined by the choice of such a functional structure that would ensure high reliability of information. When creating complex systems, there is the pr...
The relation of crack propagation behaviour and delamination on Fibre Acrylic Laminates under various cyclic conditions
The investigation of the crack propagation behaviour associating with the delamination in the interface of the laminate of the fibre acrylic laminates (FALs) composite is carried out by subjecting the composite to cyclic...