e-Highway 2050: Methodology of Data Contextualization for the Purpose of Scenario Building

Journal Title: Acta Energetica - Year 2016, Vol 27, Issue 2

Abstract

The e-Highway 2050 project is co-financed by the EU Seventh Framework Programme and is aimed at developing a methodology to support the long-term planning of the Pan-European Transmission Network, focusing on year 2050, to ensure the reliable delivery of renewable electricity and pan-European market integration. One of the tasks of the project is to create five scenarios covering the time period 2020–2050 and taking into account financial, technological/ economic, environmental and socio-political issues. One of the key questions in the context of the whole project is how to select the typical range of technology data according to the five elaborated scenarios. To this end, an approach called data contextualization is suggested. It aims to allocate, for a given technology, typical values to key variables descriptive of this technology, within the 2050 time horizon, for each of the five considered scenarios. The key assumption used is that the main driver for contextualization is the penetration rate of a given technology (cumulated number of units at a given time). It is indeed assumed that the cost and performance trends of a technology by 2050 are directly correlated to its level of deployment. The first stage of the contextualization process was to determine the degree of influence of individual factors (uncertainties as defined for each “future” and options as defined for each “strategy”) on variables selected to be contextualized. Each parameter of the selected scenarios (future uncertainty or option) has then been analysed in order to determine its impact on a potential incentive to develop a given technology as well as its investment and O&M costs. It has been assumed that development of a given technology is stimulated and hence its penetration increases by lowering the overall investment costs and vice versa. Based on the impact of each parameter’s value, a final assessment of the projected level of both types of costs was assigned to each scenario and each technology category. Finally, the values of selected variables have been allocated to individual scenarios and technologies. The allocation has been performed based on the assessment of appropriate technology groups in a given scenario and the range of values for the selected variable.

Authors and Affiliations

Michał Bajor, Maciej Wilk

Keywords

Related Articles

Electricity Distribution Effectiveness

This paper discusses the basic concepts of cost accounting in the power industry and selected ways of assessing the effectiveness of electricity distribution. The results of effectiveness analysis of MV/LV distribution t...

Improving Power Quality in AC Supply Grids

This paper describes a digital and actual model of the UPQC (Unified Power Quality Conditioner) integrated system for power quality improvement. The UPQC’s design and its connection to an AC supply grid, 1-phase and 3-ph...

Passive Safety Systems in Modern Nuclear Power Stations

The authors present operating principles of passive safety systems used in nuclear power plants using the example of the AP1000 plant. In particular, they describe the passive residual heat removal system and the passive...

Application of Voltage-regulating and Phaseshifting Transformers to Control Power Flows in the Power System

Transmission system performance results from, among other factors, the use of devices for electricity transmission and transformation. Proper operation and control of these devices allows maintaining proper electricity p...

Design of Transformers

In this paper the basic designing of high voltage power transformers has been described. The layout and construction of a high voltage and low voltage winding of transformers has been determined. The designing of a tank...

Download PDF file
  • EP ID EP199600
  • DOI 10.12736/issn.2300-3022.2016203
  • Views 57
  • Downloads 0

How To Cite

Michał Bajor, Maciej Wilk (2016). e-Highway 2050: Methodology of Data Contextualization for the Purpose of Scenario Building. Acta Energetica, 27(2), 34-39. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-199600