ESTIMATION OF PREDICTION EFFICIENCY OF SEISMIC REGIME PROBABILISTIC MODEL PARAMETERS
Journal Title: Вестник КРАУНЦ. Физико-математические науки - Year 2017, Vol 1, Issue
Abstract
On the basis of theoretical-probabilistic approach to the Kamchatka earthquakes catalog the subset of random events was specified and their probabilities were calculated. The received probabilities of random events considered as predictors of strong earthquakes with energy class KS 14. Their effectiveness V, reliability R and prediction efficiency (informative) J were calculated for periods of seismic activity and seismic calm.
Authors and Affiliations
Vadim Bogdanov, Aleksey Pavlov
Keywords
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- EP ID EP494511
- DOI 10.18454/2079-6641-2017-17-1-54-67
- Views 99
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