Features of Computer Methods in Political Forecasting
Journal Title: Ukrainian Policymaker - Year 2018, Vol 3, Issue
Abstract
This paper reveals the essence of computer methods of political forecasting, their classification and characteristics of different groups of methods. Article explore the classification of forecasting methods according to different criteria. We analyze the differences of computer and theoretical (expert) methods. In addition, we explore the advantages of using computer methods in political forecasting. The purpose of the article is to study the peculiarities of the computer methods application in political forecasting. The principal results: classification of computer methods were created, as well as a detailed study of their features in the process of political forecasting. The major conclusions: forecasting and making its results mathematically clear. These methods provide the opportunity to reuse one model for different situations in political forecasting, unlike theoretical methods. The studying of this problem allows us to discover diverse perspectives of research in political forecasting, namely: the development of new methods of political forecasting, the study of the possibilities of integrating the methods of other sciences into the process of political forecasting.
Authors and Affiliations
Uliana Movchan
Correlation between Morality and Religion in Ukrainian Society: Productive Ideas in German Idealism for Modern Consideration
Kant’s and Hegel’s ways to resolve the problem of correlation between the morality and religion at first glance seem to be opposite. Such opinion is evidenced by Hegel’s statements in which he puts himself into the oppos...
From the Moral Limits of Personal Interest to the Derogation of Individual Identity: Colonialism and Oppression
often more dubious than originally thought of. In our analysis it is attempted to discern limitations in moral and political action as well as the subsequent derogations for individual identity. These limitations for bot...
Is a New Generation of Managers Likely to Come to Small Towns of Ukraine?
There are about 350 small towns in Ukraine what makes around ¾ of the total number of towns. Small towns comprise approximately 13% of the Ukrainian population, with about 20 million citizens related to them. Small towns...
Conflicts in Donbass and the Kerch Strait as an Element of the Neo-Imperialist Expansion Strategy of the Russian Federation in the Post-Soviet Area
The subject of the article is the analysis of the situation in the eastern part of Ukraine and Kerch Strait. The emergence of two quasi-state entities greatly contributed to the destabilization of the political and socia...
Volunteer Movement in Ukraine in the Situation of External Aggression
The paper analyzes volunteering as a factor in the self-organization of society in period Joint Forces Operation, a new social need. It is proved that during the period of democratic transit the volunteer movement became...