Forecast of Development of the Agricultural Sector and the Economy of Kirovohrad Region in Terms of Climate Change
Journal Title: Центральноукраїнський науковий вісник. Економічні науки. - Year 2017, Vol 31, Issue
Abstract
The purpose of the article is to develop and substantiate a model for predicting the dynamics of the gross regional product of the Kirovograd region, which assumes an assessment of the state of development of agricultural production and the volume of development of capital investments in agriculture, forestry and fisheries. The peculiarity of forecasting at the regional level is the need to take into account the available innovative potential, exogenous, and endogenous factors of influence. For forecasting, it is advisable to identify an analytical dependence, to construct a regression space-time model. The factors of development of the agrarian sector of the economy that affect the dynamics of the gross regional product are determined. The forecast of the gross regional product has been carried out, taking into account the analysis of the impact of the volume of development of capital investments in agriculture and the variability of agricultural production in the face of climate change. By results of researches on the basis of application of a method of econometric modeling the methodical approach to construction of model of forecasting of a total regional product is developed. The essence of the proposed approach is based on a combination of multifactor forecasting methods and the production function tool.
Authors and Affiliations
Yuriy Kernasyuk
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP263693
- DOI -
- Views 93
- Downloads 0
Family Farms: World Trends and Modern Way of Economic Activity in Ukraine
The objective of this study is to highlight the importance of family farms to the world economy and the state of its implementation of the economic activity in Ukraine. Tendencies of development of family farms in the wo...
Anti-recessionary management companies of the agricultural sector
The aim of this article is to make a complex appraisal of anti-crisis management in the agriculture of the region and the workout of some practical recommendations as for its improvement. In article the modern financial...
Restructuring as a perspective direction of sustainable development of an enterprise
The article presents the analysis of the process of enterprise restructuring in the economic environment of modern Ukraine. The essence is disclosed and the main factors that influence the effective restructuring were hi...
Practice in Providing of Simplifications During Customs Control Till the Introduction of Authorized Economic Operator in Ukraine
The article reveals peculiarities of legal regulation and practice in providing of simplifications during the customs control till the introduction of authorized economic operator in Ukraine. Simplifications that were gr...
Comparative Evaluation of the Costs of Car Use in Modern Conditions
The economic justification calculations of the expenses to operate motor vehicles in view of their real state are still unsolved. This situation leads to overspending means to T and P, fuel in vehicles with high mileage...