Forecast of Development of the Agricultural Sector and the Economy of Kirovohrad Region in Terms of Climate Change
Journal Title: Центральноукраїнський науковий вісник. Економічні науки. - Year 2017, Vol 31, Issue
Abstract
The purpose of the article is to develop and substantiate a model for predicting the dynamics of the gross regional product of the Kirovograd region, which assumes an assessment of the state of development of agricultural production and the volume of development of capital investments in agriculture, forestry and fisheries. The peculiarity of forecasting at the regional level is the need to take into account the available innovative potential, exogenous, and endogenous factors of influence. For forecasting, it is advisable to identify an analytical dependence, to construct a regression space-time model. The factors of development of the agrarian sector of the economy that affect the dynamics of the gross regional product are determined. The forecast of the gross regional product has been carried out, taking into account the analysis of the impact of the volume of development of capital investments in agriculture and the variability of agricultural production in the face of climate change. By results of researches on the basis of application of a method of econometric modeling the methodical approach to construction of model of forecasting of a total regional product is developed. The essence of the proposed approach is based on a combination of multifactor forecasting methods and the production function tool.
Authors and Affiliations
Yuriy Kernasyuk
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP263693
- DOI -
- Views 80
- Downloads 0
Inventories of Retail Trade Enterprises of Consumer Cooperative Society: Economic Essence and Classification
Inventories are the most important part of the company's assets and hold a special place in the composition of assets. Therefore, the rights for recognition, classification and recording are very important. Aims and obje...
The System of Financial Support of Management Technology in Commercial Banks
The concept of «financial security» was analyzed and copyright variations of definitions have been provided by the author. The system of financial support for technology implementation management in the bank's activities...
The Problems of Maintenance of a Balance Between Customs Control and the Facilitation of International Trade Procedures
The article is devoted to study foreign experience to balance between customs controls and facilitation of international trade for its adaptation to the national practice of customs regulations. The problem of providing...
Transformation of Employment as a Factor of Changing in Motivating Models of Behavior in the Labor Market
The purpose of the article is to reveal the essence and features of employment transformations in Ukraine, define the obstacles in realization of competitive advantages of youth in the conditions of dynamic changes on th...
Academic Mobility in the Context of Increasing the Competitiveness of the Higher Education System
The purpose of the article is to study the processes of academic mobility in the context of increasing the competitiveness of the higher education system. The article considers the essence of the concept of "competitiven...