Forecasting fuel and energy consumption levels taking into account energy saving potential in the context of structural changes in the economy
Journal Title: Проблеми загальної енергетики - Year 2015, Vol 0, Issue 2
Abstract
A methodological approach and a mathematical model are presented to forecast the final consumption of fuel and energy resources taking into account the energy saving potential provided by the structural (inter- and intra-sectoral) changes between the types of economic activities, and the specifics of implementing energy saving measures in Ukraine's production and non-production sector. Consideration is given to the fact that the development of the services sector contributes to curtailing energy consumption in the country, while growth in the production sector requires increased consumption of energy resources and heavy investments in the implementation of new technologies. Fuel and energy savings resulting from structural changes are estimated up to 2030 with different options for the forecasted structure of the country's economy in accordance with the Energy Strategy of Ukraine for the period until 2030 (in the version of 2013) and up to 2035 in accordance with the Energy Strategy of Ukraine until 2035 designed by the National Institute for Strategic Studies. Forecasts and calculations regarding final consumption of fuel and energy resources are presented, broken down by consolidated types of economic activity.
Authors and Affiliations
Olena Malyarenko, Natalia Maistrenko
Keywords
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- EP ID EP508295
- DOI 10.15407/pge2015.02.005
- Views 58
- Downloads 0
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