Forecasting of Cotton Area, Production and Productivity using Trend analysis

Abstract

The retrospective study was conducted to check the trend analysis of area, production and Productivity for Cotton in Tamil Nadu. The findings of the study are based on data during the years (1970 to 2012). Three Models of trend analysis were applied .The models were Linear Trend Model, Quadratic Trend Model and Cubic Trend Model. In the present study was forecasting model for next eight year of area, production and productivity for the cotton were estimated. The exploration of forecasted period from 2013 to 2020 was presented. The best fitted selected model forecasted an area of 1.138(lakh.ha) from 2.083(lakh.ha), production is of about 4.404(lakh.bales) from 5.151(lakh bales) and finally productivity of 981(Kg/ha) from 1370(Kg/ha) respectively were estimated for the years 2013-20. Forecast values are very close to actual values and have positively increased is due to availability of cotton crops in Tamil Nadu.

Authors and Affiliations

M. Sundar Rajan, M. Palanivel, S. Kalai Mohan

Keywords

Related Articles

Chromatic Prime Number for Circular Embedded Graph of the Tensor Product Graph

The Chromatic number of tensor product (G ⊗ H) of G and H has vertex set V(G) and V(H). In this paper, we introduced chromatic prime number on circular embedded graph of tensor product.

Improvement of Compressive Strength of Specified Concrete with adding Waste Red Sand Stone Powder in place of Fine Aggregate – A Review

In this paper an effort is made to present a high-tech review of papers on replacement of natural sand by red sand stone. These review paper goals to deal with the present and future trends of research on the use of red...

Fault Detection by Pseudo-Exhaustive TwoPattern Generator

The main objective of this research is to design a Built-in self-test (BIST) technique based on pseudo-exhaustive testing. Two pattern test generator is used to provide high fault coverage. To provides fault coverage of...

Analysing and Preventing the Un-Guarded Polishing Machine Hazards by using Industrial Safety Methodologies

The main objective of this work is to ensure the safety for machine operators and also for machines by preventing the hazards causing by un-guarded components. Most of the engineering works needs the manufacturing proce...

A Survey on Web Mining: Overview, Techniques, Tools, and Applications

Web Mining is moving the World Wide Web towards a more useful environment in which users can quickly and easily find the information they need. It uses document content, hyperlink structure, and usage statistics to assi...

Download PDF file
  • EP ID EP21515
  • DOI -
  • Views 250
  • Downloads 3

How To Cite

M. Sundar Rajan, M. Palanivel, S. Kalai Mohan (2015). Forecasting of Cotton Area, Production and Productivity using Trend analysis. International Journal for Research in Applied Science and Engineering Technology (IJRASET), 3(12), -. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-21515