FORECASTING OF EPIZOOTIC OF RABIES IN THE CHERNIHIV OBLAST ON THE BASIS OF GEOINFORMATION ANALYSIS
Journal Title: Наукові доповіді НУБіП України - Year 2018, Vol 6, Issue 6
Abstract
Here we report the results of monitoring the epizootic situation on rabies in Chernihiv oblast in 2017, analyze how it changed compared to the previous year. In 2017 there were 72 rabies cases in animals in Chernihiv oblast, it is 39 cases less than in 2016. As in previous years, the incidence of rabies cases in domestic dogs and cats prevails. Compared to 2016, the main species proportions did not change significantly. The coordinates of rabies cases shifted on the average to the North and East. Kernel density estimation identified the hot spots of rabies cases in the central and eastern rayons. In the south there was no increase of incidence where in the end of 2016 the space-time cluster was detected. The epizooty in Chernihiv oblast is under significant anthropurgic impact as evidenced by the high proportion of disease among domestic dogs and cats.
Authors and Affiliations
M. Golik, I. Polupan, V. Nedosekov
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