Forecasting the Economic Growth Limitations in the Northern Regions Based on the “Sustainability Windows” Assessment
Journal Title: Arctic and North - Year 2021, Vol 44, Issue 44
Abstract
In modern conditions, the issues of assessing the sustainability of regional development are of particular relevance. The complex problems of interrelation of economic growth, environmental pollution and population well-being require the development and use of new, simpler and more understandable approaches for decision makers to assess, analyze, and predict sustainability at the regional level. The purpose of the article is to investigate the opportunities for sustainable development of the regions of the European North included in the Arctic zone, and to develop methods for forecasting their socio-environmental and economic development based on sustainability window assessment. The dynamics of changes in the relationship between environmental, social and economic indicators with the use of pollution functions is analyzed. The main factors contributing to the reduction of environmental pollution and increase of the population's well-being are identified. It is shown that structural changes in the regional economy and environmental investments have the greatest effect. A methodology for calculating sustainability windows for the regional economy is presented. The possibility of using the method has been demonstrated using data from the Republic of Karelia. A scenario of sustainable development based on the restriction of economic growth for some regions and the requirements for the structure of the economy has been developed. The results obtained can be used as an informational and methodological basis for assessing and elaborating sustainable development policies in the Arctic regions.
Authors and Affiliations
Druzhinin P. V. , Shkiperova G. T.
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP699765
- DOI 10.37482/issn2221-2698.2021.44.45
- Views 135
- Downloads 0
Arctic Agenda of the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF-2023)
The article summarizes the general results of the 26th St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF-2023), which took place in St. Petersburg from 14 to 17 June 2023. The author, as a participant of the forum, atte...
Orthodox Religious Infrastructure in the Tourism and Recreation Sphere of the Murmansk Oblast
Using the example of the Murmansk Oblast, the article analyzes the functioning of religious tourism within a region located in the conditions of the Polar and Subpolar areas. The region is considered as an example of the...
“Cultural Compass” of International Sociological Ratings on the “Organizational Culture” of the Arctic States
The article is devoted to a comparative analysis of open data from international sociological Internet resources (Trompenaars Hampden-Turner Connecting Viewpoints, Hofstede Insights Ltd) in relation to the Arctic countri...
Educational Migration from Arctic Regions of Russia That Do Not Have Independent Universities
One of the main reasons for young people to change their place of residence is the desire to get higher education. In the Arctic zone, where there is a lack of or insufficient level of development of the network of highe...
Evolution of Russian State Policy for Development of the NSR (2018–2022): Influence of Geopolitical and Geoeconomic Factors
Russia published a series of documents from 2018 to 2022 indicating its desire to transform the Northern Sea Route (NSR) into a globally competitive international shipping route due to its awareness of the importance of...