Foresight Model of Innovation and Technological Development in Economic Systems
Journal Title: Бізнес Інформ - Year 2014, Vol 8, Issue 0
Abstract
The aim of the article is to investigate the methodological approaches to the development of innovation and Foresight of innovation and technological development in economic systems. In this paper, based on the analysis of existing approaches to the prediction of innovative development, as well as the clustering of innovation and scientific and technological activities of economic agents in economic systems, a new methodological approach to the development of Foresight innovation and technological development of economic systems in the dynamics of the processes of reproduction was introduced. The necessity of taking into account, as the objective function of foresight, driving dynamics and transformation of the cost in economic systems was grounded. The methodological approach, according to which the processes of development of economic systems in the dynamics of changes in factor elements characterized by a movement of all factors of reproduction in economic processes to the state of the linear approximation, was reasoned, which is always accompanied by a structural transformation of all the factors of reproduction. The main transformation of the functional content of the theoretical justification of changes in economic systems highlighted the transformation of the determinants of the time, the meaning of which is formulated in the form of a hypothetical prerequisites for building forecast models, namely, the transition from the factor functionality of determinants of time to the functional base models of reproduction, which is manifested in the effects of the acceleration of economic processes and generation of \"footholds \" for the next technological leap. This provision formed the basis for the calculations for the development of innovation and technological Foresight of the global economic system, presented in the form of a model of structural transformations in the field of generation of innovative technologies.
Authors and Affiliations
Alexander Melnyk
Keywords
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