HOW WILL CHANDIGARH GROW SPATIALLY IN FUTURE? MODELING IT’S PERI-URBAN SETTLEMENTS WITH FUTURE PLANNING PERSPECTIVE
Journal Title: International Journal of Environment, Ecology, Family and Urban Studies (IJEEFUS) - Year 2018, Vol 8, Issue 3
Abstract
This paper attempts to formulate a futuristic model for delineation of peri-urban interface for Chandigarh, India; on the basis of specific planning parameters evolved from background research and historical dataset. These parameters contribute towards the measurement of their degree of association and accordingly frame probabilistic statistical model to delineate peri-urban realm around cities. The paper questions the existing criteria of Rural-Urban Classification defined by the Census of India and describes its role in non-recognition of peri-urban areas in the settlement hierarchy and creating disparity in the process of development. The paper has elaborated the experiment in the unique context of Chandigarh, where the peri-urbanization has spread in three adjoining states. A total of 16 peripheral towns fall within the 16k.m. radius peripheral boundary of Chandigarh, which is taken into consideration for the proposed model. Three different statistical methods – Linear & Quadratic Regression Model and Matrix method have been applied, using analytical software MINITAB; to evaluate that how the selected parameter varies with the location of a peripheral settlement and through which equation, they can be defined better. Comparing the outputs from various methods applied, the paper concludes with a hierarchy of settlement structure using a common planning parameter.
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