Hybrid dynamic model of forecasting as a tool of study of optimal currency rate in the system of currency regulation
Journal Title: Бізнес Інформ - Year 2013, Vol 3, Issue 0
Abstract
The article substantiates expediency and effectiveness of application of forecasting an optimal currency rate, in the basis of which a hybrid dynamical model is laid down. The model is composed through conceptual merger of regression, simplifies algorithmic economic and mathematical models and integrated model of autoregression. However, it is not quite correct to state about unequivocal adherence to forecast values of the currency rate on the basis of the developed model, since not only internal factors can change , but the external environment too. At the same time, availability of properly forecasted and scientifically justified optimal level of the currency rate in Ukraine allows making efficient management decisions on tools of regulation of the currency rate and timeliness of their application. These specific features become topical under conditions of financial instability and cyclic nature of development of economic processes both in the state and at the level of the world economic processes.
Authors and Affiliations
Artem Koldovskiy
Evolutionary Development of Class-Stratification Theories in the Socio-Economic Science
Dialectic aspects of class social structure of the society are considered and evolution of scientific views in respect of criteria of class stratification in the socio-economic science of the XX-th century is characteris...
Place and Role of Food Security in Formation of Economic Security
The goal of the article lies in the study of the place and role of food security in formation of economic security of Ukraine. Analysing scientific works of scientists, the article considers the essence, levels and compo...
Methodical Approach to Development and Implementation of Target Comprehensive Programs for Increase of Competitiveness of the Region
In the article the methodical going about development and realization of the having a special purpose complex programs in relation to the increase of competitiveness of region is offered, requirements to the government h...
Evaluating the Level of Socially Responsible Activities of Transport Enterprises
Evaluation of socially responsible activities (SRA) of transport enterprises is a topical and important task. Socially responsible activity of enterprise is the process of implementation of a complex of actions, aimed at...
Components of the Regional Socio-Ecological-Economic System in the Context of Sustainable Development
The article is aimed to identify the main components of the regional socio-ecological-economic system (SEES) and chances of their interaction in the context of sustainable development, thus sustainable development of a s...