Impact of Electricity Crisis on Industrial Growth in Pakistan: A Multiple Regression Analysis Approach
Journal Title: International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences - Year 2019, Vol 8, Issue 9
Abstract
Purpose- This study examines the impact of electricity crisis on industrial growth in Pakistan. It is second largest sector of economy in terms of GDP contribution but due to electricity crisis in Pakistan industrial growth has decreased from 4.5% to 3.6% in 2015. The overall electricity demand is growing in Pakistan since 2000. NEPRA (2016) indicates that annual growth of electricity consumption also reduced from 3.31% to 0.24% in 2015. Design/methodology/approach- Time series data from 2005-2015 has been used for analysis. Data is collected from various sources that include Asian Development Bank and National Electric Power Regulatory Authority (NEPRA). Industrial growth output percentage, industrial annual growth rate of electricity consumption percentage, industrial consumer percentage, industrial electricity consumption percentage and Industrial electricity consumption Gwh variables are taken for analysis. Data will be analyzed through statistical technique multiple regression analysis in SPSS version 17. Findings- Based on results, all studied variables are found to have significant and positive impact on industrial growth output percentage. Originality/value- In previous studies research scholars investigated overall energy crisis impact on GDP of any economy. This study gives insight into industrial sector of Pakistan and this study can be extended to other less developed countries which are also facing electricity crisis in their respective countries.
Authors and Affiliations
Ikramuddin Junejo, Jawad Raza Khoso
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