Individual forecasting of convict’s behaviour in process of punishment execution
Journal Title: Юридические науки и образование - Year 2019, Vol 58, Issue 58
Abstract
A person who forecasts a convict‟s behaviour should be always ready to review his assumptions that are not confirmed by reality. Anyhow a forecast cannot replace specific estimations of actual behaviour; it only helps to design the versions on possible (more probable) behaviour of a convict in future, during an execution of punishment, in order to make the preventive measures in time. In an individual prediction of the behaviour of a convict, the emphasis is placed on individuality. Motives of future behaviour of a convict, as ideal motivational forces, are formulated in a basis of the needs. Therefore, if forecasting of behaviour's motives allows us to understand how a convict intends to behave in specific conditions (in process of execution of punishment), then knowledge of the needs and interests reveals the sources of his motivations, the basis of future selectivity and directionality of activity. Consequently, forecasting of the needs of a convict has an especial significance. At individual forecasting of achievement of prevention it should be spoken not about an unambiguous forecasting conclusion, but about options for the possible future behavior of a convict as any social forecast is the forecast of probabilities, and when we are talking about the forecast of an individual behaviour then it should be taken into account in the most extent. Therefore, it is impossible any individual forecast in order to say exactly how the convict will be behaved in a one or two year in a specific life situation. Providing of a process of punitive and educational influence with sufficient information about convicted person is the most important condition of effectiveness‟ increasing of this impact and depends on judicial and investigatory bodies which act as the main transmitters of information about convicts and the institutions as sole receivers of information and organizers of punitive and educational process.
Authors and Affiliations
Ilham Rahimov
Keywords
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- EP ID EP499849
- DOI 10.25108/2304-1730-1749.iolr.2019.58.194-239
- Views 78
- Downloads 0
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