Interpretation and Forecasting Processes, Represented by Time Series, on the Basis of the Extended Logistic Mapping
Journal Title: Бізнес Інформ - Year 2013, Vol 10, Issue 0
Abstract
The article studies a possibility of use of methods of non-linear dynamics for structuring an operative forecast of complex and structured processes described by time series. It offers a model of extended logistic mapping for interpretation of characteristics of dynamic processes. It studies procedures of interpretation of data and forecasting parameters of the processes, represented by time series, that use models of extended logistic mapping. It offers methods of recurrent structuring of an operative forecast. In order to increase accuracy of obtained results, the article recommends to correct values of model parameters by means of assessment of new sets of values by the method of exponential smoothing. It provides results of application of the model of extended logistic mapping for structuring an operative forecast of processes of the railway transport, in particular, assessment of parameters of the carriage traffic volumes.
Authors and Affiliations
Vladyslav Skalozub, Ivan Klymenko
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP151896
- DOI -
- Views 95
- Downloads 0
Question of essence and consequences of sovereign default
The nature and essence of sovereign default are defined, foreign experience of the possible consequences of default announcement is considered, the current situation of the national debt in Ukraine is analyzed.
State and Prospects of the Fruit Market in Ukraine
The article analysis specific features of functioning of the domestic fruit market and reveals prospects of its development. The article conducts a forecast of the domestic fruit market situation and reveals specific fea...
The Labor Market of Ukraine: Yesterday, Today and Tomorrow
The purpose of the article is to study the trends and patterns of labor market development in Ukraine, as well as the conceptualization of directions of overcoming the major imbalances in employment, motivating and stimu...
The Conception of the State regulation of the Agrarian-Industrial Complex: a Historical Overview
The article is aimed to determine the priority components of the conception of the State regulation of the agrarian-industrial complex in the light of historical experience. The historical aspects of the State regulation...
Economic Factors of Management of Behaviour of Engineering Enterprise Personnel under Modern Conditions
The article considers influence of economic factors upon management of personnel behaviour under modern conditions of the domestic market. It justifies importance of analysis of external factors of influence upon human r...