Modeling and forecasting of meat and eggs produsing in Ukraine with seasonal ARIMA-model
Journal Title: Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal - Year 2017, Vol 3, Issue 3
Abstract
The article investigates the problem of seasonality in the production of meat and eggs on the basis of the dynamics of time series of meat and egg production in Ukraine in 2009–2016. After the construction of the input time series in the stationary, parameters of the model were found and the production volumes of meat and eggs for the subsequent periods are predicted. The seasonal autoregressive economic and mathematical models such as SARIMA (seasonally ARIMA) were fitted on the basis of the time series describing the monthly dynamics of meat and egg production in Ukraine (based on statistics for the period 2009–2016). On the basis of these models, the forecasts of these indicators are received for the next two years. By comparing the obtained forecasts with the actual values, the conclusion is drawn about the adequacy of the results obtained.
Authors and Affiliations
Larysa Zomchak, Hryhorii Umrysh
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP225381
- DOI -
- Views 128
- Downloads 0
Management strategies for business
The paper aims to systematize business management strategies and identify their potential opportunities for the development of the competitive business advantages in transition economies. Characteristics of the features...
Documentary support of internal control of land resources
Purpose. The purpose of this paper is to investigate, critically assess the state of documentary support of internal control of land resources and develop proposals for its improvement. Methodology / approach. The method...
Rural population residing the radioactively contaminated areas income and employment evaluation
Currently the state activity in the direction of overcoming the consequences of the disaster significantly decreased, that has deepened economic, social and demographic problems of this region and negatively affected the...
Land use land cover change detection in Gibe Sheleko National Park, Southwestern Ethiopia
Purpose. The main aim of the study was to assess land use land cover change detection (LULCC) from 1990 to 2016 in case of Gibe Sheleko National Park (GSNP), Southwestern Ethiopia. Methodology / approach. Multi-temporal...
Current state of organic production in Ukraine
Ukraine is the largest producer of organic agricultural products in Eastern Europe. The purpose of the paper is to highlight the peculiarities of organic production in Ukraine, its state and development prospects. The dy...