Modelling sustainable development of territorial production systems
Journal Title: Проблеми економіки - Year 2013, Vol 2013, Issue 1
Abstract
The article provides an imitation model of stable development of territorial production systems, synthesised with the method of system dynamics, which, unlike the existing ones, has three basic levels - economic, ecological and social, takes into account cyclic fluctuations of external market situation in long-term and short-term periods, and is based on interrelation of stable territorial development with the innovation one. It substantiates structural and process approach to defining stable development, which lies in the basis of modelling and envisages establishment of a balance not only between static above-mentioned levels of territorial production systems, but also between those processes, which take place between these levels. It provides such a list of linear quantitative links between components of a territorial production system, so that in long-term prospective its development could be identified as stable with predominance of innovation production over resource intensive one. It makes a long-term forecast of development of the Dnipropetrivsk oblast on the basis of functioning of the proposed model.
Authors and Affiliations
Marina Pashkevich, Yelena Chernysheva, Tatyana Gviniashvili
Keywords
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