MODERN LATEST TRENDS IN REGIONAL GEODEMOGRAPHIC PROCESS IN UKRAINE
Journal Title: Вісник Одеського національного університету. Географічні та геологічні науки - Year 2014, Vol 19, Issue 3
Abstract
The article examines the modern latest trends in regional geodemographic processes (GDP) in Ukraine. The dynamics of the population of Ukraine and its regions for the past twenty years are reviewed. Target position of analysis of the latest trends is to review of the extent of depopulation, its current rates and trends. Together with a general depopulation, which is Ukraine’s transition to a qualitatively new – type narrowed reproduction of the population, the latest trends in the regional GDP should take into account demographic wave of the previous stages and phases, as well as demographic strain last 10-20 years that will have a noticeable impact on reproduction of population in the short term.Main indicators of the latest trends in the demographic development of the country and its regions examined for two time periods (1989-2011 and 2001-2011 years) for Ukraine and regions are shown the overall population loss (thousand people), mean values of linear regression coefficients that show the rate of reduction of population (thousand / year), as well as change (difference) of the regression coefficients of these two time periods.Analysis of regional GDP under general depopulation showed significant differences in the manifestation of the latest trends in population dynamics, in particular: –The absolute loss of population over the 1989-2011 period, –The absolute loss of population over the 2001-2011 period, –The pace of depopulation in 1989 of 2011, –The pace of depopulation in 2001 of 2011, –To change the pace of depopulation for specified periods, –Structural deformation in the younger age groups of age and sex pyramids 2001r, Analysis of regional GDP on all these indicators.Quantitative and qualitative analysis of regional GDP in modern conditions, comparative characteristics of the latest trends of the populations in the regions should be made mandatory components of the state regional geodemographic policy and create a reliable factual basis for the prediction of regional GDP.
Authors and Affiliations
V. Yavorska, N. V. Dimova, O. M. Tyurin
Keywords
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