Prediction of biological sensors appearance with ARIMA models as a tool for Integrated Pest Management protocols
Journal Title: Annals of Agricultural and Environmental Medicine - Year 2016, Vol 23, Issue 1
Abstract
[b]Introduction and objectives.[/b] Powdery mildew caused by [i]Uncinula necator[/i] and Downy mildew produced by [i]Plasmopara viticola[/i] are the most common diseases in the North-West Spain vineyards. Knowledge of airborne spore concentrations could be a useful tool in the Integrated Pest Management protocols in order to reduce the number of pesticide treatments, applied only when there is a real risk of infection. [b]Material and methods. [/b]The study was carried out in a vineyard of the D. O. Ribeiro, in the North-West Spain, during the grapevine active period 2004–2012. A Hirts-type volumetric spore-trap was used for the aerobiological monitoring. [b]Results.[/b] During the study period the annual total [i]U. necator[/i] spores amount ranged from the 578 spores registered in 2007 to the 4,145 spores sampled during 2008. The highest annual total [i]P. viticola[/i] spores quantity was observed in 2010 (1,548 spores) and the lowest in 2005 (210 spores). In order to forecast the concentration of fungal spores, ARIMA models were elaborated. [b]Conclusions[/b]. The most accurate models were an ARIMA (3.1.3) for [i]U. necator[/i] and (1.0.3) for [i]P. viticola[/i]. The possibility to forecast the spore presence 72 hours in advance open an important horizon for optimizing the organization of the harvest processes in the vineyard.
Authors and Affiliations
María Fernández-González, David Ramos-Valcárcel, María Jesús Aira, Francisco Javier Rodríguez-Rajo
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP79329
- DOI 10.5604/12321966.1196868
- Views 136
- Downloads 0
Standardized modified colposuspension – mid-term results of prospective studies in one centre
Introduction. Burch colposuspension is still estimated as a ‘gold standard’ by the Cochrane Collaboration Group in the treatment of operative stress urinary incontinence (SUI) Some urogynecologists agree with this statem...
Skin lesions in the form of eruptive xanthomasas a first manifestation of severe hyperlipidemia complicated by acute pancreatitis in a patient with newly diagnosed type 2 diabetes
The presence oferuptive xanthomasis associated with lipid disorders particularly hypertriglyceridemia. What’s more, intensify hypertriglyceridaemia >10 mmol/l (880mg%) is a major risk factor for acute pancreatitis. This...
Alcohol-containing mouthwash and oral cancer – can epidemiology prove the absence of risk?
Gandini et al. [1] are to be commended for providing the most detailed meta-analysis of epidemiological studies about the connection between mouthwash use and oral cancer risk.The result (i.e. the absence of an associati...
Fungi on wheat bran and their toxinogenity.
To survey the overall fungal contamination and toxicological potential of isolated fungi, a mycological investigation of 56 samples of wheat bran was carried out during March-June 2004 in Slovakia. Despite of low values...
Incidence of abnormalities in temporomandibular joints in a population of 1,100 urban and rural patients lacking teeth and other parafunctions in 2003-2008. An international problem
Introduction and objective. A hectic lifestyle and everyday stress are direct causes of parafunctions. The objective of the presented study was to examine the relation of sleep disorders, distant pain symptoms, symptoms...