Prediction the Return Fluctuations with Artificial Neural Networks' Approach

Journal Title: Advances in Mathematical Finance and Applications - Year 2019, Vol 4, Issue 2

Abstract

Time changes of return, inefficiency studies performed and presence of effective factors on share return rate are caused development modern and intelligent methods in estimation and evaluation of share return in stock companies. Aim of this research is prediction of return using financial variables with artificial neural network approach. Therefore, the statistical population of this study includes 120 listed companies in Tehran stock securities during 2005 to 2017. Independent variables in this research are market variables (Earning quality, free cash flow) and dependent variable is share return. The obtained outputs from estimation of the artificial neural networks and results obtained from estimation, using of this method with evaluation scales concerning random amount and comparing it with adjusted R, we found that there is meaningful relation between the associated variables and return. However, such network has the least error than other networks.

Authors and Affiliations

Masoud Taherinia, Mohsen Rashidi Baghi

Keywords

Related Articles

Designing an Expert System for Credit Rating of Real Customers of Banks Using Fuzzy Neural Networks

Currently, in Iran's banking system, non-repayment of facilities has become one of the biggest issues, and due to the lack of a proper system for proper allocation of facilities, they face a number of problems, including...

Impact of the Management Performance Evaluation Methods on the Data Quality in Accounting

The impact of the management performance evaluation methods on the information quality in accounting will be studied in this paper. The information plays two roles in the market-oriented economies; first, it allows the i...

Impact of Managers’ Optimism on the Relationship between Patience of Major Shareholders and Information Influence Management

Behavioral financial knowledge deals with the behavior of investors and other users in the capital market. According to the financial knowledge, it is no longer expected that only factors such as accounting information a...

Investigating the effect of rounding and revision in predicting earnings per share on investors' attention

Because in the theory of economics, the value of a company is based on the current value of future cash flows and profit is used as a substitute for cash flows, profit forecasting is of particular importance. In the rese...

Studying the Role of Marketing Intensity on the Relation of Financial Leverage and Firm Function

Choosing the financial supply is one of the most important decisions for providing optimal structure that can be effective for firm value and stocks market of companies. Therefore, marketing as one of the abilities of th...

Download PDF file
  • EP ID EP658568
  • DOI 10.22034/amfa.2019.580643.1149
  • Views 60
  • Downloads 0

How To Cite

Masoud Taherinia, Mohsen Rashidi Baghi (2019). Prediction the Return Fluctuations with Artificial Neural Networks' Approach. Advances in Mathematical Finance and Applications, 4(2), 103-114. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-658568