SEASONALITY OF UNEMPLOYMENT IN THE COASTAL AND MOUNTAINOUS TOURIST REGIONS OF POLAND
Journal Title: Folia Turistica - Year 2017, Vol 43, Issue
Abstract
Purpose. Comparison of the size, distribution and trends of seasonal fluctuations in unemployment in seaside and mountain tourist areas. Efforts were made to determine the differences between groups of regions as a whole, internal differentiation within individual regions and between selected regions.<br/><br/>Method. The decomposition of the time series relies on extracting the seasonal component from the input range . To extract the seasonal component, we used the Census X12 ARIMA procedure. The analysis used data on the number of registered unemployed individuals in particular months from 2004 to 2014.<br/><br/>Findings. Tourist labour markets in Poland were characterized by relatively high seasonal unemployment. Seasonality level of unemployment was significantly lower in the mountain regions than in the seaside regions. In both regions, seasonality of unemployment increased during the considered period. Seasonal fluctuations in unemployment on seaside and mountain labour markets showed a similar distribution.<br/><br/>Research and conclusion limitations. The analysis used data on the number of registered unemployed individuals. The number of registered unemployed individuals does not fully describe the actual number of those unemployed and occurring in the short term changes in the labour market.<br/><br/>Practical implications. The findings may be useful from the point of view of shaping instruments affecting the labour market in the tourist regions. They also allow an assessment of the changes that have occurred among labour markets in tourist regions.<br/><br/>Originality. The originality of the research is based on comparison of seasonality in tourist regions with different locations and specifics. It allows to assess whether short-term fluctuations in unemployment in seaside and mountain tourist regions have any specificity.<br/><br/>Type of paper. Research article.<br/><br/>
Authors and Affiliations
Jerzy Rembeza, Kamila Radlińska
Keywords
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