Social-geographic approaches to application of economic-mathematical modeling in predicting the place of Ukrainian farming economies in food market commoditization
Journal Title: Часопис соціально-економічної географії - Year 2017, Vol 23, Issue 2
Abstract
Social-geographic analysis of farmery with application of economic-mathematical modeling allowed for prediction of farming economies’ role in food market commoditization. The equation of potential demand was suggested. Actual consumption and its recommended rates with respect to meat and meat products, milk and milk products, eggs, fish and fish products, bread and cereal products, potatoes, vegetables, fruits and berries, etc, were compared. Cartographic model of Ukrainian domestic food market’s potential capacity (within good-money relations) was developed. The low level of purchasing power, especially in rural population, makes a high percentage of foodstuffs be beyond the goods-money relations. In rural areas, they (inclusive of farmers) produce and consume a significant portion of foodstuffs that escaped the goods-money relations, or such foodstuffs were given to them by the relatives. We regard that in the process of assessment of the capacity of domestic food market, this share of products should also be taken into account. The assessment also necessitates consideration of the number of urban and rural population in Ukrainian regions; manufacturing of certain types of agricultural production; needs in this or that type of product as prescribed by minimal and rational consumption rates. When predicting, with the use of economic-mathematical modeling, the places of farming economies in commoditization of food market, it is reasonable to apply the parameters of time series of the number of farming economies and the areas of lands used by them with consideration of the dynamics of population number and the level of its (population) self-provision with agricultural production. Application of predictive linear models shows that the share of production manufactured by farming economies will be most essential before 2020 on the market of potatoes and vegetables (reaching 15 %). Despite the predicted double increase in animal production, its share will stay to be insignificant (3-5 %).
Authors and Affiliations
Valeriy Rudenko, Vasyl Hryhorkiv, Myroslav Zaiachuk, Sviatoslav Ishchenko
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP267865
- DOI -
- Views 47
- Downloads 0
Transformation of the agrarian sphere of Ukraine: approaches to study
The relevance of the study is due to the absence in the scientific literature of an unambiguous definition of the concept of "transformation of the agrarian sphere." In our understanding, the transformation of the agrari...
Social and geographical research of the trading sphere of Kharkiv region based on indicators of system development
The article characterizes population trading service in Kharkiv region. The brief analysis of the previous human-geographical research on trading sector was given. The system approach in human geography was emphasized, t...
Internal contradictions of nature reserve business
Protected areas perform such functions as protective, scientific, aesthetic and recreational. The most important of them are recreational and environmental and their interests conflict with each other. In the early XX c...
Kharkiv region innovation infrastructure: current status and prospects
The paper defines the concept of «Smart-economy», describes its composition. It was determined that «Smart-economy» is based on a comprehensive modernization and innovative development of all sectors based on new generat...
Spatial organization of tourist attraction network of Kryvorizhzhia
Technogenic tourism, as a relatively young trend in tourism, begins to play a significant role in Kryvbas, one of the oldest in-dustrial regions in Ukraine. It has preserved the industrial heritage of the previous indust...