Spatial analysis of dengue incidence and linear effects with climate conditions in Bandung City Indonesia in 2021-2023
Journal Title: Journal of Public Health and Development - Year 2025, Vol 23, Issue 1
Abstract
The dengue problem is getting more serious in Indonesia, there has been a threefold increase in dengue cases compared to the previous year. Bandung City is one of the areas contributing the most cases in 2024 (1,741 cases). As climate change progresses, rising temperatures are expected to exacerbate dengue incidence in Indonesia. This study aims to spatially analyze the impact of population density, altitude, and climatic conditions on dengue incidence in Bandung City. An ecological study was conducted using secondary data from all sub-districts in Bandung City from January 2021 to December 2023. Data on dengue cases, population density, altitude, and climatic conditions were analyzed using spatial analysis, correlation, and multiple linear regression. The highest dengue incidence was recorded in the Bojongloa Kaler sub-district, with 203, 337, and 116 cases in 2021, 2022, and 2023, respectively. Bojongloa Kaler also had the highest population density (402 people/ha) and is located at an altitude of ≥720 m above sea level. Correlation analysis revealed significant associations between dengue incidence and population density (R² = 0.221), minimum temperature (R² = 0.08), and maximum temperature (R² = 0.07). Climatic conditions significantly affected dengue incidence (p=0.017), explaining 30.7% of the variance. Climatic conditions, along with population density, play a crucial role in dengue transmission. Effective intervention strategies should prioritize areas with high case numbers and involve coordinated cross-sectoral efforts to address climate-related transmission risks.
Authors and Affiliations
Agung Sutriyawan, Martini Martini, Dwi Sutiningsih, Hairil Akbar, Farid Agushybana, Nur Endah Wahyuningsih, Sari Dewi Nurlaela, Adamu Victor Eneojo
Keywords
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- EP ID EP754620
- DOI 10.55131/jphd/2025/230119
- Views 20
- Downloads 0
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