The impact of near-miss events on betting behavior: An examination of casino rapid roulette play
Journal Title: Judgment and Decision Making - Year 2012, Vol 7, Issue 6
Abstract
We examine how almost winning in roulette affects subsequent betting behavior. Our main finding is heterogeneity in gambler behavior with some gamblers less likely to bet on numbers that were near misses on the prior spin and other gamblers more likely to bet on near miss numbers. Using a unique data set from the game rapid roulette, we model the likelihood of a gambler betting on a near miss number while controlling for the favorite number bias and the likelihood of a number being a near miss. We also find no evidence that near misses in roulette leads to gamblers extending the time spent gambling or to the placing of more bets.
Authors and Affiliations
James A. Sundali, Amanda H. Safford and Rachel Croson
Keywords
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