The Models of the Work Force Distribution by Industries of the National Economy of Ukraine
Journal Title: Проблеми економіки - Year 2015, Vol 2015, Issue 3
Abstract
In the work there has been justified the urgency of modeling the distribution of the work force in the context of increasing the competitive advantages of Ukraine’s economy in the world markets and reducing the budget deficit; the current state of work force management has been analyzed and its existing models have been studied. The balance, econometric and simulation methods for modeling the work force distribution have been offered. The work force distribution by industries of the national economy based on building models of interindustry balance according to the Ukrainian economy data has been studied. The Holt model has been built, which allowed forecasting the work force development and identifying perspective industries in terms of the work force redistribution. On the basis of the concept of system dynamics a simulation model of the work force distribution and formation of legal and shadow GDP has been developed. With the help of the simulation experiments there has been confirmed the hypothesis about the possibility of improving the production efficiency and reducing the share of shadow economy by reallocating the work force from the intangible sector to the real one. The perspective directions of the national economy development and basic measures to prevent the further shadowization of the economy have been suggested.
Authors and Affiliations
Ganna Iastrebova, Ievgeniia Zaruba
Keywords
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