The Potential Impact of Climate Change on the Distribution of Norway Spruce (Picea abies Karst.) in Bosnia and Herzegovina
Journal Title: Lesnoy Zhurnal (Russian Forestry Journal) - Year 2022, Vol 10, Issue 2
Abstract
As forests in Bosnia and Herzegovina cover 2,904,600 ha or 56.7 % of its total area, and since the meteorological data analysis for the period 1961–2014 shows that the mean annual temperature maintains a continuous rise, сlose attention should be paid to these fragile ecosystems. It is important to note that one of the most economically valuable species for forestry in Bosnia and Herzegovina, Norway spruce, is particularly endangered due to its very low drought resistance and spread of various diseases. Comparing the last climate sequence (1991–2019) with the previous one (1961–1990) we found that the spruce-inhabited areas showed an average increase in the values of the Forest Aridity Index of 0.929. As for the Ellenberg’s climate quotient, it is noticeable that climate change is not as strong as in the case of the Forest Aridity Index. Based on projections for the mid- (2041–2070) and late-century (2071–2100) under the RCP 4.5, there will be no change that is likely to significantly affect the distribution of spruce. The predicted rates of decline and altitudinal shifts of favorable habitats are negligible. On the contrary, projections under the RCP 8.5 predict a significant reduction of suitable habitats, both for the existing range of Norway spruce and the entire territory of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Particularly, late-century projection under the RCP 8.5 predicts an almost complete reduction of suitable habitats, while small areas of suitable habitats at higher elevations will remain intact. For citation: Miletić B., Drašković B., Đorem T., Bojić S., Matović B., Stojanović D.B. The Potential Impact of Climate Change on the Distribution of Norway Spruce (Picea abies Karst.) in Bosnia and Herzegovina. Lesnoy Zhurnal [Russian Forestry Journal], 2022, no. 2, pp. 73–83. DOI: 10.37482/0536-1036-2022-2-73-83
Authors and Affiliations
B. Miletić, B. Drašković, T. Đorem, S. Bojić, B. Matović, D. B. Stojanović
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP702112
- DOI https://doi.org/10.37482/0536-1036-2022-2-73-83
- Views 122
- Downloads 0
Seasonal Dynamics of Content of Antioxidant System Component in Needles of Scots Pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) Trees Situated in the Local Warming Impact Zone
The seasonal changes in a period of low temperatures and characteristic correlations of some antioxidant system (AOS) components in pine needles influenced by a gas flare are investigated in this study. The parameters ta...
Powdered Paper-Resin Films as Reactive Fillers for Urea-Formaldehyde Resins
Powdered paper-resin films (PRF) composed of melamine-urea-formaldehyde resin and bleached pulp seem to be promising fillers for plywood glues as they increase the viscosity of the glue composition and interact chemicall...
Comparison of Physical and Mechanical Properties of Scots Pine Wood Grown in Different Climatypes
It is important to comprehend the physical and mechanical properties of Scots pine wood from various geographical origins in order to use it effectively and rationally in production. The purpose of the study is to determ...
Selection of Half-Sib Species of the Genus Malus L. by Growth and Formation Parameters in the Suburban Area of Krasnoyarsk
The apple tree is one of the most popular and widespread fruit crops in the temperate zone of the Northern Hemisphere due to its great variety diversity and high biological and ecological plasticity. Ecological variety t...
The Density of Pine Wood in Drained Shrub-Sphagnum Pine Forests
The density of wood is a key indicator of its quality. It is necessary to identify the factors affecting the density of wood for its effective and rational use. Knowledge of the features of wood formation in various fore...