The Private Income Tax Shock Premium
Journal Title: International Journal of Business and Applied Social Science - Year 2019, Vol 5, Issue 7
Abstract
This paper investigates the asset pricing implications of tax policy changes. News about tax cuts decreases future tax revenues and increases future consumer demand and output. Using cross-sectional variation in industry exposure to structurally identified tax news, I develop a factor mimicking private income tax shocks. I construct an investment strategy, which generates annualized risk-adjusted returns of 5.16 % over the Fama-French 3-factor model. I rationalize the finding by arguing that firms with more elastic demands bear higher consumption risk, which works through a wealth effect.
Authors and Affiliations
Zornitsa Todorova
Keywords
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- EP ID EP610202
- DOI 10.33642/ijbass.v5n7p9
- Views 161
- Downloads 0
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