THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN BUDGET DEFICIT AND INTEREST RATE: EVIDENCE FROM NIGERIA
Journal Title: European Journal of Business and Social Sciences - Year 2013, Vol 2, Issue 1
Abstract
This research empirically examines the relationship between budget deficit and interest rate in Nigeria using Vector Error Correction model (VECM) for the period of 1970:1-2010:4. In the long run co-integrating equation, budget deficit reported a positive and significant impact on interest rate implying that a high budget deficit will increase interest rate in the country. The result supported the Keynesian proposition. Also the evidence from Johansen co-integration result indicates that there is a long run relationship between budget deficit and interest rate. From these aforementioned findings, this research suggests appropriate monetary- fiscal policies mix should be pursued. These include among other things, the right combination of appropriate internal- external debt ratio, the ways and means and bond to finance budget deficit in the country with close monitoring of rate of inflation.
Authors and Affiliations
Joseph Chukwudi Odionye| Department of Economics, Rhema University Aba, Abia State,Nigeria. josephodionye@yahoo.com +2348037629881, Uma, Kalu Ebi| Department of Economics, Federal University Ndufu-Alike, Ikwo, Ebonyi State, Nigeria. +2348036061790
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