The role of economic and mathematical modeling for the study of indicators in the field of civil protection
Journal Title: Економіка. Фінанси. Право - Year 2019, Vol 3, Issue
Abstract
In the XXI century, the world economy has shifted to a qualitatively new stage of development which is based on informational technologies and computer networks. It resulted in the qualitative changes in the management of civil protection processes at all hierarchical levels. The main purpose of the scientific paper was to study the application of mathematical methods in the field of civil protection, to justify the need for mathematical modeling to solve complex administrative tasks in the field of civil protection and to apply mathematical methods in the system of training specialists for civil protection sphere. It is summarized that modeling of processes in the field of civil protection is used both for the estimation of statistics or comparative statics, and for the analysis and forecast of their dynamics in the short-and long-term prospects. Economic and mathematical methods and models in the field of civil protection provide the following possibilities: to sum up accurately the provisions of civil protection; to formally describe the relationships between the variables of civil protection; to solve tasks of optimization of planning and management, reflecting the specifics of processes in the field of civil protection; to respond timely to changes in goals, resource constraints, dependencies between parameters and adequately adjust plans and managerial decisions; receive information about the object, its operation; to predict the object and its behavior in the future. Adequate modeling and effective application of economic and mathematical models should be the subject of research of the independent scientific discipline "Economic-Mathematical Modeling in the Field of Civil Protection". The existence of an "economic-mathematical" triangle in the field of civil protection - "modeling theory" - "methodology and methodology of modeling" - "practice of constructing and using models" is justified in the article. The widespread use of mathematical methods is an important area for improving the analysis of indicators in the field of civil protection, which may increase the efficiency of making managerial decisions in the field of civil protection.
Authors and Affiliations
Viktoriia Serhiivna Chuban, Yurii Anatoliiovych Skorobohatov
Keywords
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