TO THE QUESTION OF MODERN CHANGES OF CLIMATE OF NORTHWEST BLACK SEA REGION
Journal Title: Вісник Одеського національного університету. Географічні та геологічні науки - Year 2016, Vol 21, Issue 1
Abstract
Rurpose. In recent years, climate indices, the majority of which belongs to the category of so-called «extreme indices», widely used in international practice for assessing global and regional climate changes. The purpose of this article is to identify the characteristics of climate change, the North-Western Black Sea region since the beginning of the twentieth century through the use of climate indices. Data & Methods. For the analysis and evaluation of the changes of climate of the North-west Black Sea region have used the series of monthly, seasonal and annual values of the most informative climate indices for weather station Odessa-GMO for the period 1900-2015 from the site of European Climate Assessment & Data (ECA&D) project. In total have used 22 indexes, 12 of which are temperature, 5 – precipitation, 5 – complex. Analysis and assessment of climate change made using the comparative–geographical, graph-analytical and statistical methods of analysis. Results. During 1900-2015 years according to observations at the meteorological station of Оdessa-GMO had been an increase both air temperatures and precipitation amount. In so doing in the long-term course of most of the indices manifested the periodicity of changes with the characteristic average size equal to 62-64 years. The most intensely during this period occurred raising the minimum air temperature. While the coefficient of linear trend of average annual air temperature (TG index) equals 1,23° C / 100 years, for the absolute annual minimum of air temperature (TNn index) this coefficient equals 2.97° C / 100 years. Since the late 70-ies of the last century has been a significant increase in the intensity of warming. In particular, over the last 35 years the average annual air temperature increased by 2° C, the annual minimum air temperature increased by 4° C, more than in 2 times there was an increase the number of «summer days», in 3.5 times increased number of «tropical nights», and in 1,5 times reduced the number of «frosty nights». It should also be emphasized that in the dynamic of precipitation amount over the last 35 years the monotonicity of changes, typical for the temperature indexes, is absent. In the seasonal aspect most intensive growth both of air temperature and precipitation as a whole for period under consideration is typical for winter, the least an intensive – for the summer, which led to a decrease in annual amplitude of air temperature and equalization of distribution within the year of precipitation amount, respectively. At the same time in the last 35 years against the background of a slight increase in summer precipitation significantly increased their intensity.
Authors and Affiliations
A. A. Svetlitchnyi, M. S. Ibragimova
Keywords
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