UNCERTAINTY MODELS IN GROUP EXPERT JUDGMENTS
Journal Title: Наукові праці. Серія "Комп’ютерні технології" - Year 2017, Vol 307, Issue 295
Abstract
The mathematical models of group expert judgments allows to process the results of an expert survey under uncertainty and con-flicting (contradictory, non-conforming) expert judgments have been proposed in the article. In real world, expert judgments ex-pressed in relation to the problem under study and formed in the same set of initial data, can interact in one way or another with respect to the information they can provide about a plurality of initial data. The structure of such interactions can have a different nature: they can be consistent, compatible and arbitrary; can be arbitrarily combined and intersected. The situations that can arise in the processes of expert panel evaluation and in which expert judgments can interact in various ways: intersect, unite, and be absorbed are analyzed in this paper. Modern theories are considered, the mathematical apparatus of which allows correctly operate with specific forms of uncertainties generated by the different structure of expert evidences. The theory of evidence allows to operate correctly with a set of exclusive and exhaustive elements. This is treated as an examination of all possible elements, uniquely defined and distinguishable from each other. However, in practice, it is not always possible to achieve mutual exclusion - some elements can overlap to a significant degree with each other. Therefore, it is not possible to distinguish completely different the elements. The mathematical apparatus, which allows to operate correctly with such uncertainties, is the theory of plausible and paradoxical rea-soning.
Authors and Affiliations
I. I. Kovalenko, A. V. Shved, K. O. Antipova
Keywords
Related Articles
- EP ID EP396563
- DOI -
- Views 92
- Downloads 0
CONSTRUCTION OF AUTOMATIC CONTROL OF A COMPUTER SYSTEM OBJECT WITH LIMITED COM-PUTING AND ENERGY RESOURCES, USING FUZZY LOGIC
In this paper constructing a computer automatic control system design, with limited computing and energy resources using fuzzy logic, resistant to unpredictable fluctuations, or other influences and inter-ference environ...
INVESTIGATION OF METHODS OF PREVENTING THE DISCLOSURE OF AN IP-ADDRESS WITHAN ACTIVE VPN-CONNECTION
For secure operation on the Internet, you can use different types of connection. One type of such connections is VPN connections. It allows you to tunnel all incoming/outgoing traffic, encrypt it. However, when the VPN c...
ANALYSIS OF THE ALGORITHM FOR CALCULATING THE COORDINATES OF THE SHOT AND ITS PRACTICAL IMPLEMENTATION ON THE BASIS OF MOBILE DEVICE IN COOPERATION WITH THE UAV
We study the possibility of creating a sound source positioning system (shot) on the basis of the mobile device in cooperation with UAV. The method of gradient descent with a crushing step is proposed and implemented in...
COGNITIVE ANALYSIS OF CURRICULUM’S STRUCTURE
The important factor of quality of curriculum for preparation of specialists in high school is a structurally-logic chart (SLC) of curriculum that presents sequence of teaching of courses thus, that before teaching of ma...
THE MODEL OF COMMUNICATIVE BEHAVIOR TRANSFORMATION FOR COMPONENTS OF MULTI-AGENT NETWORK SYSTEMS ORGANIZATION
Functionality of the systems of optical navigation and communications will require the usage of vig-orous quantitative resources, which with multi-agent systems for the proper organization can be provid-ed. In the paper...