Using the Imperialistic Competitive Algorithm Model in Bankruptcy Prediction and Comparison with Genetic Algorithm Model in Listed Companies of Tehran Stock Exchange
Journal Title: International Journal of Finance and Managerial Accounting - Year 2017, Vol 2, Issue 7
Abstract
Bankruptcy prediction is a major issue in classification of companies. Since bankruptcy is extremely costly, investors, owners, managers, creditors, and government agencies are interested in evaluating the financial status of companies. This study tried to predict bankruptcy among companies registered in Tehran Stock Exchange (Iran) by designing imperialist competitive algorithm and genetic algorithm models. It then compared the accuracy of the two models in financial conditions of Iran and sought the best model to predict company bankruptcy one, two, and three years before its incidence. Also uses a model to surveying the financial position and also the subject of continuing operations about them to improve the quality of decision taken by shareholders and stakeholders. The study sample consisted of 38 bankrupt and 38 non-bankrupts companies during 2007-2016. The final variables used in both algorithms were five financial ratios. The results showed that the imperialist competitive algorithm had better accuracy than the genetic algorithm in bankruptcy prediction at the mentioned intervals.
Authors and Affiliations
Mahdi Moradi, Mohsen Maftounian, Maedeh Babaei Kelarijani, Morteza Fadaei
Balance Scorecard Systems: Designing and implementing (A case study: Shiraz University)
Different models with various approaches to strategic positioning have been employed to define it in various industries. As one of the powerful models, BSC analyses all aspect of organization evenly. In this study BSC is...
Modifying the Black-Scholes model to valuate preemption right
In this paper, we try and valuate preemption rights by modifying the Black-Scholes model, which is widely used to valuate options and other derivatives. Here we first present the basics of the Black-Scholes model and the...
A Comparative Study of the Relationship between Real Earnings Management and Earnings Management Based on Accruals to Achieve an Average Profitability
This research aimed to study the behavior of real earnings management and earnings management based on accruals to achieve an average profitability of listed companies in Tehran Stock Exchange. In this study, we focus on...
Measuring the Dependency of the Banks’ Assets and Liabilities in Iran
Analyzing the correlation between banks’ assets and liabilities after the financial crisis has been focused by many countries. As the banks in Iran have proved to be the biggest financer required for the production secto...
Income from Asset sales, Earnings Change, and Leverage
Due to the fact that assets are recorded at their historical value and they may include unrealized gains (losses), managers may manipulate earnings through the sale of these assets and provide financial information which...