Village load profiling and forecasting model
Journal Title: IOSR Journals (IOSR Journal of Electrical and Electronics Engineering) - Year 2018, Vol 13, Issue 5
Abstract
This paper describes building up of a model for computing the load forecasts as well as producing load profiles of a selected village and comparing it with national load profile. The main requirement before developing the models were ease of interphase (graphical user interphase) and accuracy of load profiles and forecast. The user-friendliness of the model is its ability to access, import and analyze historical data of the location whose load profile or load forecasting is to be determined. Selection and calibration of the model through the use of neural analysis tool has also been employed by the model parameters calibration and validation. The model has been built and successfully demonstrated. It produced load profiles and some forecasting performed, as shown in the result section, of selected village. The total load profile for villages does not necessarily follow a similar pattern to the national load profile due to socio economic activities, lifestyle patterns and extent of industrialization or commercialization of the village. This work is an extension of the work by the same authors who had worked on approximate mathematical model for load profiling and demand forecasting.
Authors and Affiliations
Kelebaone Tsamaase, Utlwanang Moyo, Kamen Yanev, Ishmael Zibani
Keywords
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- EP ID EP421913
- DOI 10.9790/1676-1305024956.
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