“Feeling more regret than I would have imagined”: Self-report and behavioral evidence Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Diego Fernandez-Duque, and Jessica Landers Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Cognitive determinants of affective forecasting errors Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Michael Hoerger, Stuart W. Quirk, Richard E. Lucas and Thomas H. Carr Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
The wisdom of ignorant crowds: Predicting sport outcomes by mere recognition Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Stefan M. Herzog and Ralph Hertwig Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Forecasting elections with mere recognition from small, lousy samples: A comparison of collective recognition, wisdom of crowds, and representative polls Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Wolfgang Gaissmaier and Julian N. Marewski Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Effects of ignorance and information on judgments and decisions Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Peter Ayton, Dilek Önkal and Lisa McReynolds Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Coping strategies and immune neglect in affective forecasting: Direct evidence and key moderators Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Michael Hoerger Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Image Theory’s counting rule in clinical decision making: Does it describe how clinicians make patient-specific forecasts? Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Paul R. Falzer and Melissa Garman Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Using inferred probabilities to measure the accuracy of imprecise forecasts Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Paul Lehner, Avra Michelson, Leonard Adelman and Anna Goodman Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
The role of actively open-minded thinking in information acquisition, accuracy, and calibration Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Uriel Haran, Ilana Ritov and Barbara A. Mellers Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Developing expert political judgment: The impact of training and practice on judgmental accuracy in geopolitical forecasting tournaments Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Welton Chang, Eva Chen, Barbara Mellers and Philip Tetlock Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
An IRT forecasting model: linking proper scoring rules to item response theory Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Yuanchao Emily Bo, David V. Budescu, Charles Lewis, Philip E. Tetlock and Barbara Mellers Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Accountability and adaptive performance under uncertainty: A long-term view Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Welton Chang, Pavel Atanasov, Shefali Patil, Barbara A. Mellers and Philip E. Tetlock Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Weighted Brier score decompositions for topically heterogenous forecasting tournaments Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Edgar C. Merkle and Robert Hartman Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
Comparative evaluation of the forecast accuracy of analysis reports and a prediction market Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Bradley J. Stastny and Paul E. Lehner Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences
The boundary effect: Perceived post hoc accuracy of prediction intervals Journal title: Judgment and Decision Making Authors: Karl Halvor Teigen, Erik Løhre and Sigrid Møyner Hohle Subject(s): Philosophy, Psychology, Social Sciences