A BRIEF ANALYSIS OF SEASONALITY IN THE ROMANIAN CAR MARKET
Journal Title: Revista Romana de Statistica - Year 2015, Vol 63, Issue 7
Abstract
This article presents a brief seasonality analysis based on monthly statistics of some variables specific to the total sales of home-produced and imported cars focusing on the data series of the domestic market over the last three years, distinctly structured on three significant subpopulations (supply and delivery of car running on petrol, supply and delivery of diesel cars, and delivery of the leading car makes/brands). The statistical analysis of seasonality is focused on the faster assessment of the average structure, generating more interesting information regarding the data processed, which is specific to the complex type of thinking of statistics, and the aggregate and subsequently structured study, giving original indicators (absolute and relative gap of structural coefficients of seasonality), which the authors consider an interesting investigation solution providing a higher degree of overall simplicity and accessibility. The article also used the E-Views software package to reveal seasonality through special econometric graphs, which becomes a second proof of originality, comparable to the classical statistical charting, as in modern econometric modeling, immortalized in a mean dynamics (the moving average method).
Authors and Affiliations
Gheorghe Săvoiu, Victor Iorga Simăn, Constantin Manea
Macro Analysis of the Romanian Ecotourism
In this paper, the author presents the results obtained from the analysis of macro Romanian ecotourism study aiming fundamentally, highlighting a strategy to improve the quality of service to Romanian ecotourism. This re...
The Impact of Unemployment on Older Population in the North-East Region
This paper aims to highlight the impact of labor supply for the population aged 55-64 years looking for a job in the North East. It uses multifactor regression model, with the exogenous variables, the rate of job vacanci...
An R implementation of a Recurrent Neural Network Trained by Extended Kalman Filter
Nowadays there are several techniques used for forecasting with different performances and accuracies. One of the most performant techniques for time series prediction is neural networks. The accuracy of the predictions...
The Transition from the Budget Balance to the Financing or Outfitting Capacity with Econometric Methods Using Fiscality
Countries in transition are faced with lack of experience in terms of analytical techniques to time-series (seasonal adjustment for example), and in most cases the series are not long enough to allow a cyclical analysis....
Analysis of the evolution of Romanian foreign commercial exchange
In this paper, the authors analyze the international trade of Romania in the recent years. The research overviews indicators such as the value of imports and exports, the situation on groups of products, the valuation of...