A Theoretical Approach To Forecasting Of Electric Power Of Distribution Transformers

Abstract

This paper is targeted at discussing the theory involved in addressing the problem of forecasting electric power at a substation transformer in a distribution network. Accurate power forecast is of great essence in power distribution planning, reactive power support control and intelligent power management. Due to the dynamics of the power system, an intelligent and adaptive forecast algorithm based on the Adaptive Neuro-fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is proposed for the power forecast. However the forecast model involves the use of five layer Adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and its learning algorithm for the forecast of active and reactive power. For efficiency of the forecast model, training and validation, historical data for active and reactive power distribution network are utilized. Therefore the input voltage v(t) to the network is time varying series of vector patterns called sequence. Ultimately, this paper presents an algorithm for forecasting electric power of distribution transformers.

Authors and Affiliations

Ugwudike D. U. , Madueme T. C.

Keywords

Related Articles

Performance Evaluation of Wide Band Channel At 900 MHz Using Lee Model

In this paper, deterministic model using a Lee model developed for use at 900MHz and has two modes which is also used to characterize a wide band propagation channel in terms of received signal strength from which we com...

1/f noise study as a non-destructive test to check MOSFET

1/f noise studies play significant role in choosing the band of frequency in which a device can be commendably used. This property is used to check the MOSFET without disturbing its physical structure. A MOSFET is used f...

Precision Control of Induction Motor Drive through Pressure Transducer

The variable frequency drives in various applications could save energy, cut costs and increase profit margins. A system with a feedback controller will attempt to drive the system to a state described by the input, such...

Performance Analysis of PV Solar Power System

The state of Chhattisgarh is blessed with high solar radiation intensity and has capacity for large solar energy generation. With increasing energy demand and rapid use of fossil fuel has made pressure on thermal power g...

Mat lab Simulation Procedure for Design of Micro -HydroElectric Power Plant

The design procedure of micro-hydro power plant was implemented by Matlab Simulink computer program to calculate all the power plant parameters. The choice of turbine type was depending mainly on the site head and rate o...

Download PDF file
  • EP ID EP388494
  • DOI 10.9790/1676-1206032031.
  • Views 150
  • Downloads 0

How To Cite

Ugwudike D. U. , Madueme T. C. (2017). A Theoretical Approach To Forecasting Of Electric Power Of Distribution Transformers. IOSR Journals (IOSR Journal of Electrical and Electronics Engineering), 12(6), 20-31. https://europub.co.uk/articles/-A-388494