A WAR AGAINST ISIS AS A CLASH OF GLOBAL AND REGIONAL INTERESTS: POSSIBLE SCENARIOS
Journal Title: Science Review - Year 2018, Vol 8, Issue 3
Abstract
Given paper evaluates current alignment of forces in terms of war against ISIS on the territory of Syria and Iraq. It is focused on crucial strategic goals of leading actors, their interests in the region, and consequent formation of bilateral and multilateral alliances. On the basis of these characteristics, the paper provides four possible scenarios of development of war against ISIS in the next three to five years: peaceful settlement, status-quo, military defeat of ISIS, and closer cooperation between the U.S. and Turkey. In addition, possibility of creation of independent state of Kurdistan is researched and considered in the paper as a Black Swan, or a scenario with a highly unlikely probability.
Authors and Affiliations
V. Lavrentyeva
Keywords
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