Alliances, conflict escalation, and the outbreak of interstate war, 1816 – 2000
Journal Title: Athenaeum. Polskie Studia Politologiczne - Year 2016, Vol 0, Issue 52
Abstract
In international relations theory alliances are often regarded as factors influencing the incidence of interstate war. Th is study statistically examines this claim on a population of cases taken from the Correlates of War project data sets, consisting of 3216 instances of militarized interstate disputes (MIDs) that occurred in the period 1816 – 2000, 307 of which were wars. In the test, this initial data set has been divided into three sub-sets comprising: (1) originator dyads, (2) originators-as-initiators-and-joiners-astargets dyads, and (3) joiners-as-initiators-andoriginators- as-targets dyads; and ten variables were used to determine the impact of alliances on whether MIDs will become wars. Th ese variables included unit-, dyad-, and system-level indicators of the presence of alliances, their capabilities and tightness. Combined, this enabled the analysis to test hypotheses related to the capability-aggregation and war-diffusion functions of alliances as well as arguments on the relationship between polarity and war.
Authors and Affiliations
Michał Drgas
Keywords
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- EP ID EP669797
- DOI 10.15804/athena.2016.52.01
- Views 135
- Downloads 0
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