Area, Production and Productivity Forecasts of Rice in Chhattisgarh Plains Agro-Climatic Zone using R-Based-Arima
Journal Title: International Journal of Agricultural Science and Research (IJASR) - Year 2018, Vol 8, Issue 1
Abstract
The Chhattisgarh Plain is one of the most important ago-climatic zone of the State of Chhattisgarh. It is the highest rice producing region in the State. Therefore, the forecast of the area, production and productivity of rice in Chhattisgarh Plains over future period is of great concern to the planners of the State. So, the present study aims at studying the patterns of area, production and productivity of rice crop for Chhattisgarh Plains over a time series from 1980 to 2015 and their forecasts for the next five years using ARIMA and double exponential methods. This study used the libraries for forecast developed across the globally famous statistical software environment “R: The R Project for Statistical Computing” available at www.r-project.org. Some good models were developed for areas, production and productivity wherever model diagnostics were found to be good. A summary of Good fitted forecast models have been appended. Finally, the forecasts based on these good models have been made for the future periods from 2015-16 to 2019- 20.
Authors and Affiliations
G BHAVANI, A. K. SINGH
Keywords
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- EP ID EP276999
- DOI 10.24247/ijasrfeb201820
- Views 100
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