ASPECTS MODEL OF FORECASTING ELECTRICITY OF ENTERPRISES, ON THE CONDITIONS OF IMPLEMENTATION TO THEIR SYSTEM OF ELECTRICAL SUPPLY OF DISPOSABLE GENERATION
Journal Title: Вчені записки Таврійського національного університету імені В. І. Вернадського. Серія: Технічні науки - Year 2018, Vol 29, Issue 6
Abstract
The purpose of this work is to synthesize peculiarities of forecasting of substations’ electric consumption at introduction, provided that generations are dispatched to their electricity supply system. Taking into account the fact that the enterprises actual introduction into the general structure of power supply systems of distributed generation, proposed the introduction of renewable energy sources. Meanwhile, for forecasting, with a sufficient level of probability, the electricity consumption of enterprises it is necessary to solve a multicriteria problem. Application of neural networks in systems of forecasting of electric power parameters will allow to provide multifactor forecasting. This approach will improve the predicted generation of electricity by dispersed generation in time, which in turn reduces the forecast error of the electricity consumption from the network in the conditions of enterprises. The structural scheme of determination of forecast indicators of energy consumption from the network of the enterprise is proposed, with the introduction of the electricity supply of these dispersed generation enterprises, for further implementation of the forecast model.
Authors and Affiliations
С. М. Бойко, А. В. Некрасов, О. М. Борисенко, А. О. Онищенко
Keywords
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